Poland is currently facing an alarming reality regarding its military preparedness in the event of a conflict with Russia. On March 26, 2025, General Dariusz Lukowski, head of the National Security Bureau, revealed during an interview with Polsat News that Poland would only be able to sustain a defense against a potential Russian attack for one to two weeks before its ammunition supplies run out. This stark admission has raised concerns about the country's military readiness and its ability to respond effectively to aggression.
General Lukowski explained that the situation regarding ammunition is not uniform across all types of weaponry. "This is possible in many areas, for many types of ammunition, but one cannot say that we have the same situation for all types of means," he stated. He emphasized that while some areas might have sufficient stocks for only five days of combat, the overall defense capability could last longer depending on the intensity of the fighting.
In his remarks, Lukowski acknowledged the mixed state of the Polish military's equipment, noting that many older systems still remain in service. The shortage of ammunition is particularly acute for these outdated systems. However, he reassured that the Polish Armed Forces are continuously receiving supplies for newer combat platforms, which significantly improves their operational readiness.
"I think, depending on how the fighting goes, this defense could last a week or two with today's levels of supplies," Lukowski added. He also highlighted the importance of allied support, stating that the arrival of NATO allies would be crucial during any potential conflict. Poland is actively working to bolster its military capabilities, with plans to invest $750 million in increasing ammunition production over the next few years. This investment aims to enhance Poland's defense potential against the backdrop of escalating tensions with Russia.
As Poland seeks to fortify its defenses, the geopolitical landscape in Europe remains tense. On March 18, the head of the European Commission warned that Russia is preparing for confrontation with Europe, while Denmark's Prime Minister called for Europe to achieve self-sufficiency in defense over the next three to five years. Additionally, Lithuania's President indicated that his country is preparing for a possible Russian attack by 2030.
In light of these developments, Poland's National Security Bureau is working diligently to address the challenges posed by its aging military equipment. General Lukowski remarked, "We are at a stage where we are pushing back the threat and increasing our potential every day." He expressed hope that in the next two to three years, Poland would restore its military capabilities sufficiently to effectively counter any potential aggression from Russia.
The urgency of these measures is underscored by Poland's strategic position in a region increasingly wary of Russian intentions. The Polish government is not only focused on military readiness but is also enhancing border security, particularly along its frontier with Belarus. Plans include recruiting 1,500 new border service personnel to bolster defenses in potentially dangerous areas.
As tensions continue to rise, Poland's commitment to strengthening its military infrastructure is clear. The government is aware that the threat of Russian aggression is not just a hypothetical scenario but a pressing concern that requires immediate action. Poland's efforts to modernize its military, coupled with increased collaboration with NATO allies, reflect a proactive approach to national security.
In conclusion, Poland's ability to defend itself against a potential Russian attack remains a critical issue. With supplies sufficient for only a short duration of conflict, the need for rapid enhancement of military capabilities is evident. As Poland navigates this challenging landscape, its focus on building a robust defense system and fostering alliances will be pivotal in ensuring national security in the years to come.
