The AIVD (Dutch General Intelligence and Security Service) has issued a stark warning regarding the rise of criminal intelligence teams operating within the Netherlands, which are becoming alarmingly sophisticated and pose a significant threat to national security. Erik Akerboom, the director-general of the AIVD, highlighted the professionalism of these teams, stating, "They utilize surveillance equipment and have specialized tracking teams to carry out assassination attempts." This alarming development reflects a growing trend where criminals gather sensitive information, including home addresses and social networks, often through corrupt connections within the government.
This professionalization of criminal intelligence operations has raised concerns not only about domestic safety but also about international implications. The AIVD notes that countries such as Iran could leverage these criminal networks for intelligence operations, sabotage activities, or targeted assassinations. For instance, in June 2024, a murder attempt on an Iranian resident in Haarlem was thwarted. The suspects, allegedly linked to a broader conspiracy involving a Spanish politician, were reportedly directed by Sami Bekal Bounouare, a Rotterdam native still at large and listed on the National Investigation List.
In its annual report, the AIVD stated, "Based on intelligence, it is probable that Iran is responsible for the two assassination attempts," marking a rare instance where the agency explicitly identified Iran as a client behind such operations. Akerboom emphasized the importance of transparency, stating, "But we do not want to keep this under wraps." This revelation underscores the seriousness of the threat posed by both domestic and foreign entities.
However, the AIVD has recently faced scrutiny from two key oversight bodies regarding its investigations into these criminal networks. Although the agency has been permitted to investigate groups posing a threat to national security since 2022, the oversight bodies criticized the AIVD for not always providing sufficient justification for their inquiries and for occasionally intercepting confidential discussions between suspects and their lawyers.
In addition to the threats from criminal organizations, the AIVD has also pointed to the increasing menace from Russia. The agency noted that the Russian regime has adopted a more aggressive stance towards European nations, engaging in activities ranging from espionage to cyberattacks. Akerboom remarked, "The regime employs sabotage that borders on state terrorism to instill fear in Europe." This was exemplified by attempts from Russian hackers to execute a sabotage operation against a public Dutch institution last year, which was successfully thwarted by the AIVD and the Military Intelligence and Security Service (MIVD).
Last year also witnessed a cyberattack on a Dutch defense network, which the AIVD attributed to the Chinese state. The agency reported, "The attack indicates an intent to spy on the Dutch government and political targets." This growing threat landscape has led the AIVD to reassess the security environment, with Akerboom stating, "We are experiencing a shift from a situation where our safety seemed self-evident to one where it has become a primary concern for many Western countries."
The AIVD's report also highlighted the rising threat of jihadist attacks, particularly in 2024. The agency documented eleven attacks carried out in Europe last year, with several thwarted by intelligence and security services. Notably, the AIVD claimed to have played a role in preventing attacks during significant events such as the European Championship football tournament in Germany and the Olympic Games in Paris.
Furthermore, the report indicated a worrying trend of a new generation of jihadists emerging in Europe, influenced by online propaganda, particularly from ISIS. These individuals are often under 20 years old and can radicalize quickly. The AIVD observed that while some of these young jihadists may only express radical views online, they still represent a serious terrorist threat.
Additionally, the AIVD noted parallels between the behaviors of young jihadists and right-wing extremists. Many of these young individuals face psychological issues and unstable home environments. In 2024, the police arrested several young men suspected of inciting hatred, discrimination, or right-wing terrorism, with the AIVD emphasizing that early intervention with support services could help prevent radicalization.
As the AIVD continues to navigate these multifaceted threats, it remains clear that both criminal and state-sponsored activities are converging, complicating the national security landscape. The intertwining of organized crime with international espionage raises critical questions about the safety and stability of the Netherlands and its allies.
In conclusion, the evolving dynamics of crime and international relations necessitate a vigilant approach from intelligence agencies. The AIVD's warnings serve as a clarion call for increased awareness and preparedness to counteract these threats effectively.
