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07 April 2025

XRP's Future: Will It Surge Again In 2025?

Despite recent price declines, analysts predict potential growth for XRP amid market shifts and ETF approvals.

In the world of cryptocurrency, XRP has been a focal point of discussion, especially following its remarkable surge in late 2024. The digital asset saw a staggering 280% increase in value during the fourth quarter, driven by a confluence of market catalysts including the return of Donald Trump to the presidency, a stable Federal Reserve policy, and a wave of institutional investors seeking refuge in digital assets. This surge marked a significant turning point for XRP, which had long battled legal obstacles and skepticism from the investment community.

The retirement of former SEC Chair Gary Gensler, known for his tough stance against Ripple, was seen as a pivotal moment. With Gensler's departure, the legal uncertainties that had stifled XRP's growth appeared to dissipate. Trade volume for XRP skyrocketed from a mere $500 million daily average to an impressive $5 billion between mid-November and December 2024, signaling a robust market interest.

Fast forward to April 7, 2025, and XRP is currently trading at $2.46, reflecting a 3% increase over the last 24 hours and a 25% rise from its earlier highs this year. However, the recent price action has left many investors questioning whether XRP's bullish run is merely on pause or has come to an end. Despite these concerns, optimism remains, particularly from figures like Edoardo Farina, head of Social Adoption at XRPHealthcare, who believes that XRP still holds substantial upside potential in 2025.

One of the key drivers for XRP's future price movement is the potential acceptance of XRP ETFs. The SEC is currently reviewing over fifteen applications for these ETFs, which, if approved, could make XRP significantly more accessible to both retail and institutional investors. This trend has previously propelled Bitcoin to new heights, and many analysts believe it could do the same for XRP.

Moreover, the regulatory landscape surrounding stablecoins is shifting, which could inadvertently benefit XRP. Ripple’s own stablecoin, RLUSD, is expected to gain traction as regulations evolve. Since XRP is used for transaction fees within the Ripple ecosystem, increased adoption of RLUSD could organically boost demand for XRP, as these fees are burned, effectively reducing the total supply.

Farina anticipates a phenomenon he refers to as "institutional FOMO," where institutional investors rush to acquire XRP in anticipation of ETF approvals or another price surge. This buying pressure could create a supply shock, potentially driving XRP's price to $5 in Q2 2025.

While XRP’s path to new highs seems promising, some investors are diversifying into other projects, such as Rexas Finance (RXS). This initiative focuses on tokenizing real estate, fine art, and commodities, integrating cryptocurrency with real-world asset markets. Rexas has already raised $47.63 million in its presale, with a substantial increase in token price from $0.03 to $0.20, marking a 567% growth. The token is set to debut on major exchanges on June 19, 2025, with a projected listing price of $0.25, and analysts are optimistic about a potential 100x return on investment in 2025.

Despite the recent cooling off, XRP's fundamentals remain strong, with potential ETF approvals, institutional support, and regulatory clarity all contributing to a favorable outlook. For investors who missed the initial surge, keeping an eye on these assets could prove beneficial.

In a related development, Joe Weisenthal, co-host of Bloomberg's "Odd Lots" podcast, noted that significant spikes in XRP prices often coincide with local tops for Bitcoin. On January 16, 2025, XRP reached a record high of $3.40 on the Bitstamp exchange, shortly before Bitcoin peaked at $108,786 on January 20. Since then, XRP has experienced a 47% decline from its peak, which can be attributed to waning enthusiasm surrounding the SEC's pro-crypto stance and declining retail interest.

As of April 7, Bitcoin is trading at $76,896, showing resilience despite a turbulent market. However, some analysts, like CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju, argue that Bitcoin is already in a bull market, citing stagnant market cap despite increasing realized cap. In contrast, financial commentator Peter Schiff has predicted that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies will continue to decline, stating that none of the tokens hold real value.

Adding to the intrigue, a South Korean analyst known as XForceGlobal has made a bold prediction for XRP, forecasting that it could surge to between $10 and $20 in the coming months, despite its current valuation of $1.93. This prediction, based on technical analysis, has met skepticism from industry experts who question its feasibility. XForceGlobal pointed to XRP's relative stability during recent market turbulence, where it dipped only 5% compared to steeper losses in major tokens like Ethereum, which has fallen over 40% in three months.

Using Elliott Wave theory, XForceGlobal has identified a five-wave cycle that suggests XRP could reach as high as $20 to $40 by late 2025 or early 2026. Critics, however, dismiss these targets as unrealistic. The trading interest in XRP remains strong, with open interest climbing to $3.60 billion, indicating heightened speculative activity. Analysts note that traders are positioning themselves regardless of price direction, reflecting divided sentiment in the market.

In summary, while XRP has faced its share of challenges, the combination of potential ETF approvals, institutional interest, and a shifting regulatory landscape could pave the way for a significant rebound. Whether or not XForceGlobal's ambitious predictions come to fruition remains to be seen, but the cryptocurrency space is certainly one to watch in the coming months.