Weather Update for Monday, March 10: Mixed Conditions Across France
Following the storms of Sunday, March 9, weather conditions across France are expected to fluctuate significantly as the week begins. While the Nord-Pas-de-Calais region enjoys the protection of the Icelandic anticyclone, Picardy faces the encroachment of rainy disturbances from the southwest. The forecasts indicate cloudy skies and scattered showers, but with varying levels of precipitation across the country.
On the morning of March 10, showers will impact the southeast, particularly over Provence, potentially accompanied by thunderstorms. From Brittany to Alsace and through the Paris basin, expect overcast conditions and sporadic rain. The rest of France is largely dry, providing some respite from the precipitation of the previous days.
The temperature on Monday morning will range from 5°C in the Ardennes to 10°C near the Atlantic and Mediterranean coasts. By the afternoon, the weather is set to turn again, particularly in the southeast, where instability will heighten with thunderstorms stretching from Provence Alpes Côte d'Azur to the lower Massif Central and Languedoc. Scattered rain is possible from the coasts of Normandy to the Grand Est region.
Temperatures this afternoon are expected to vary widely, with maximums between 12°C in the Ardennes and 18°C along the Basque Country.
By evening, the instability will continue, with thunderstorms likely over the southeast. Rain showers will persist from Languedoc to Provence Côte d'Azur, reaching Corsica before the night is out, creating varied weather patterns across different regions.
Looking at the week ahead, the cold drop will hover over France, propelled by colder air daily, bringing with it the possibility of daily showers across many regions. Storms may pose additional challenges among the warm, humid climates, primarily affecting the southern parts of the country.
Meanwhile, regions such as Picardy will see their shares of the rain continue this Monday. The morning will bring scattered showers affecting Oise and south Aisne, marching steadily northward. Fortunately, the Nord and Pas-de-Calais are expected to remain mostly rain-free, with thickening clouds but limited precipitation.
By afternoon, rains will continue to push north, intensifying late evening with forecasted accumulations reaching between 10 to 20 mm, particularly concerning for Amiens where residents remain alert due to high water levels on the Somme.
The temperatures here will range from 6°C to 9°C, even reaching 10°C near coastal areas. The day will bring warmer highs nearing 13°C to 16°C, even hitting 18°C up north where the rains do not hold sway.
For the following days, forecasts predict the moving of the disturbance toward the south, with only southeast Picardy experiencing rains early on Tuesday, March 11. Temperature lows will range between 5°C to 7°C, maxing out at 8°C to 10°C.
Wednesday promises to bring small but cold showers as cool air flows from the North Sea. Expect morning readings of 2°C to 5°C, warming slightly to 7°C to 9°C during afternoons.
The remainder of the week, beginning Thursday, March 13, anticipates less frequent showers, seeing morning temps dip to 2°C to 4°C rising slightly to 6°C to 12°C post-lunch.
For the latter part of the week, including Friday, March 14, some weak rain could appear south of the Lille-Le Havre axis. Minimum temperatures are estimated to hover between 3°C to 5°C, eventually climbing to 8°C to 12°C.
Friday marks another cloudy day. Tune-ups with some sunshine could come Saturday, March 15, where strong gusts reaching 70 km/h could affect coastal areas. Minimum temperatures will fall between 4°C and 6°C with the upper limits resting at 6°C to 11°C across France.
Sunday will likely mirror Saturday's conditions, with foreboding coastal winds continuing, and temperatures also similar to the previous day.
Environmental conditions indicate pollution levels raising concerns, particularly bad and degraded air quality reported Monday, March 10, 2025, in regions like the Somme and critically poor across Nord-Pas-de-Calais where high levels of fine particles PM2.5 accumulate. Anticyclonic influences are trapping locally produced pollutants, leading to elevated health advisories.
With the sun adding three minutes of daylight, the day will be dedicated to the celebration of Vivien. Enjoy the beautiful weather where it shines and take caution where the rains pour!