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U.S. News
11 March 2025

U.S. Stock Market Faces Turmoil Amid Recession Fears

Investors react to trade tensions and unclear economic signals from the White House.

The New York Stock Exchange has been characterized by notable volatility as fears of recession and trade tensions dominate investor sentiment. On March 10, 2025, the Nasdaq experienced its worst performance since 2022, plummeting by 4%. Alongside this decline, the Dow Jones dropped by 2.08%, and the S&P 500 fell by 2.70% as concerns over the economic outlook escalated.

Investors expressed significant worry over several tech giants, whose shares suffered substantial losses. Tesla's stock sank by 15.43%, Meta receded by 4.42%, and other major players such as Microsoft, Alphabet, Apple, Amazon, and Nvidia followed suit with declines ranging from 2.36% to 5.07%. This sharp drop showcases the risks associated with high concentrations of these technology stocks within the market, according to Steve Sosnick of Interactive Brokers.

The sell-off was exacerbated by comments from President Donald Trump, whose vague responses to questions about potential recession predictions left many investors unsettled. “I hate predicting things like this,” he stated to Fox News, adding to the market's uncertainty as he acknowledged, “a period of transition” is on the horizon.

On March 11, 2025, the turmoil extended internationally, with European markets also reflecting the negative impact of Trump's trade decisions. By mid-morning, major European indices were down; Paris lost 1.03%, Frankfurt fell 0.88%, and London shed 1.05%. The Dow Jones decreased by 0.99%, and though the Nasdaq briefly rallied by 0.18%, investor unease remained palpable.

Christopher Low of FHN Financial noted the pessimistic market atmosphere was largely ignited by tariff implementations and warnings about the economic impact of trade conflicts. Starting March 10, new Chinese tariffs on American agricultural products came as another layer of concern for markets already fraught with uncertainty.

The economic environment was also characterized by remarks from Scott Bessent, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, who indicated the economy and stock market would enter a detox phase following years of reliance on public spending. This drastic shift is coupled with significant pressures brewing from both the domestic and international fronts, particularly as tensions escalate between the U.S. and Canada.

Newly appointed as the leader of the Liberal Party, Mark Carney emphasized his intention to maintain retaliatory measures against the U.S., asserting, “Canada will prevail and will never be part of the United States, anyway.” His leadership ties reflect the changing political dynamics as Canada navigates its own economic policies amid U.S. tariffs.

Market participants are closely monitoring the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report due for release on March 12, 2025. This data will likely play a pivotal role assessing market sentiment and could influence Federal Reserve policies. “For Wall Street to bounce back, it needs stronger catalysts,” according to Stovall, disclosing the anticipation surrounding inflation indicators amid the current climate.

The bond market has also been affected, with yields on U.S. 10-year government bonds slightly decreasing to 4.22% as fears of investor sentiment continued to grow. Novo Nordisk faced challenges as its stock fell by 8% after the publication of disappointing results for one of its appetite suppressant drugs, highlighting the broader sell-off across sectors.

Meanwhile, major airline stocks responded to economic signals with Delta Air Lines shares falling by 4.05% over lowered forecasts, and American Airlines shares losing 3.76% after adjusting expectations for weaker performance due to market conditions. Kohl's stock, meanwhile, plummeted by 16.80% following its fourth-quarter results which, though stronger than expected, focused investor attention on disappointing future projections.

Despite the grim outlook for many sectors, Southwest Airlines gained 8.80% after announcing changes to its baggage policy, underscoring the varied responses within the market. Notably, as the price of oil has continued to rise amid these developments, Brent crude increased by 1.47% to reach $70.30 per barrel.

Overall, as Wall Street grapples with uncertainty and volatility stemming from trade tensions, questions remain about the future direction of the market and the potential for U.S. economic stability, making the upcoming CPI report all the more significant for investors seeking clarity.