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24 December 2024

U.S. Military Presence Deepens Amid Syrian Conflict

Troop increases and shifting alliances complicate the fight against ISIS and the future of stability.

U.S. Military's Role Transforms Amid Syrian Conflict

Significant troop increases and shifting alliances mark the changing dynamics of the Syrian civil war.

Recent revelations have brought to light the extensive involvement of the U.S. military in Syria, particularly its support for rebel groups aimed at toppling the government of Bashar al-Assad. A report published by The Telegraph indicates U.S. military assistance has included the formation of the Revolutionary Commando Army (RCA), whose commanders have credited American support for their successes against the Assad regime. U.S. forces were not just passive observers but actively facilitated collaboration among rebel factions, including notorious extremist groups.

The RCA, trained and armed by the U.S. and UK military, received monthly payments of $400 for its fighters—nearly twelve times what the soldiers of the now-defunct Syrian army made. This stark disparity stems from external sanctions crippling the Syrian economy, drastically reducing local purchasing power. A commander within the RCA recounted, "We were just told: ‘Everything is about to change. This is your moment. Either Assad will fall, or you will fall,’" reflecting the urgency and gravity of the situation as the offensive kicked off back in November 2024.

While U.S. forces were coordinating actions from the Al-Tanf base on the Syrian-Iraqi border, NATO ally Turkey was asserting opportunities of its own across borders by backing northern rebel groups. Reports suggested Turkey had signaled support for these assaults as extremist groups, including Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), executed coordinated strikes against the Syrian government.

The extent of U.S. support for rebel factions has raised concerns, particularly the links forged between American-backed groups and rebranded terrorist organizations. Unsettling reports indicate Washington had knowledge and intelligence about the alliance between the RCA and HTS, once directly affiliated with al-Qaeda. Jake Sullivan, the national security advisor under the Biden administration, noted, "Our goal is to support the SDF — the Kurds — and to keep ISIS in check," highlighting the complex interplay at hand.

Despite previous declarations from officials about the defeat of ISIS, fears of the group’s resurgence loom larger amid the new geopolitical vacuum following the Assad regime’s fall. Officials are concerned about the SDF possibly needing to divide its resources between countering ISIS and combating attacks from Turkish-backed forces. Bill Roggio, from the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, warned, "Turkey wants to destroy the SDF. Turkey has the ideal opportunity to destroy the SDF, and it will take advantage of this unique situation. I expect attack[s] against the SDF to increase." This precarious balance poses significant challenges for U.S. policy as the new American administration braces against rising extremist threats.

The Pentagon has confirmed the number of troops deployed to Syria has surged from approximately 900 to around 2,000. According to Major General Pat Ryder, this increase is attributed to efforts targeting ISIS operations. This marked increase reflects heightened tensions and the operational importance of maintaining U.S. control over strategic areas, including oil fields, which former President Donald Trump noted emphatically by stating, "I left troops to take the oil. I took the oil. The only troops I have are taking the oil." Such remarks underline the resource-driven motivations often underlying U.S. military presence abroad.

Recent airstrikes conducted by U.S. Central Command, targeting capabilities and strongholds of ISIS, highlight the emphasis placed on neutralizing extremist sentiments amid mounting chaos. Nevertheless, the operations face increasing complications as the SDF combats rising threats from the Turkish-aligned forces. Jake Sullivan has cautioned, "ISIS loves vacuums," insisting careful monitoring of the situation is imperative to maintain stability.

With the backdrop of past engagements and alliances set against the shifting currents of the Syrian conflict, the risks remain pronounced. The capacity of U.S. troops to navigate through the myriad conflicts engenders questions about their long-term involvement and ultimate objectives within the region. The U.S. military presence exemplifies both engagement to counter terrorism and the complex ramifications of the relationships built throughout the years.

Urgent decisions and actions remain pivotal as the future of U.S. interests hangs perilously on the scales of Syrian instability and foreign alliances. Washington's actions will likely continue to be pivotal as the region grapples with the aftermath of regime changes, armed conflicts, and the unpredictable resurgence of extremist factions.

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