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Science
25 March 2025

Urban Compactness Linked To Reduced Carbon Emissions In China

A comprehensive study reveals the intricate relationship between urban density and carbon emission intensity in the Pearl River Delta.

As urbanization accelerates, the dynamics between urban compactness and carbon emissions are increasingly significant, particularly in regions like the Pearl River Delta (PRD) Urban Agglomeration in China. A recent study undertaken by researchers focused on this key area analyzed the interplay between urban density and carbon emissions from 2010 to 2021, revealing critical insights likely to influence future urban planning and environmental policies.

The research found a striking upward trend in urban compactness within the PRD, attributed to economic activities and infrastructure development. Cities such as Shenzhen and Dongguan saw the most significant increases in compactness, reflecting urban growth strategies that prioritize density over sprawl. Conversely, cities like Zhaoqing, despite notable ecological resources, experienced fluctuations due to economic decisions favoring expansion over efficient land use.

Simultaneously, the study highlights a sustained decrease in carbon emission intensity across the PRD, dropping from 1.569 tons to 0.825 tons per 10,000 yuan from 2010 to 2021, marking a 47.42% reduction. This decline is linked to industrial restructuring toward less energy-intensive sectors and improving energy efficiency through governance and advanced technologies.

Further analysis revealed that urban compactness and carbon emission intensity are increasingly well-coordinated. The degree of coupling coordination in the PRD improved dramatically, moving from extreme imbalance to near perfect coordination (0.994) by 2021. This represents a significant development as it underscores the potential for sustainable urban growth models to optimize land use while achieving emissions targets.

Driving the positive trends observed were several key factors: technological innovation, industrial structure, urbanization levels, government intervention, and environmental livability. For instance, technological advancements significantly influenced the reduction in emission intensity, as cities like Dongguan prioritized research and development initiatives to facilitate a shift toward cleaner production processes. Government policies also played a vital role, with financial support and regulations directing urban development in a low-carbon direction.

The policy recommendations resulting from this research advocate for a holistic approach to urban planning that promotes sustainable and compact city models. Authorities should focus on integrating residential and commercial areas to minimize transportation emissions and develop comprehensive public transport systems to alleviate the dependency on automobiles.

Another recommendation targets the industrial sector, emphasizing the transition towards fewer carbon-intensive industries while enhancing support for technological upgrades in existing manufacturing processes. Combined efforts from local governments to streamline administrative processes, ensure efficient resource allocation, and bolster basic infrastructure may further assist in reaching carbon neutrality goals.

Ultimately, the research situates the Pearl River Delta Urban Agglomeration as an important case study—its findings not only highlight successful patterns emerging in urbanization and emission reductions but also serve as a model for other urban regions vying for sustainable development amid rapid population growth and environmental challenges. As cities worldwide confront similar issues, the implications of this study resonate far beyond China, offering a framework for improved urban planning and effective policy enactment.