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24 February 2025

Ukraine Pushes For Better Mineral Deal With U.S.

Negotiations focus on mineral ownership terms amid military support and security guarantees.

Ukraine is actively negotiating improved terms for its deal with the United States concerning rare earth minerals, which are pivotal for various technological applications. This development was announced during a press conference held by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Sunday, February 23, 2023, where he stated, "We have made progress toward reaching an agreement." The proposal suggests transferring ownership of substantial mineral reserves to the U.S. as compensation for hundreds of billions of dollars worth of military aid provided by Washington.

Zelenskyy's comments indicate the urgency of establishing fair terms. He emphasized, "I do not want terms which would impose on Ukraine's future generations to pay back," reflecting his concerns about the financial obligations tied to the agreement. According to Zelenskyy, for every dollar of military assistance received from the U.S., Ukraine would agree to repay two dollars, though specific details of the agreement are yet to be disclosed.

The backdrop of these negotiations is the prolonged conflict resulting from Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which is nearing its third anniversary. The U.S. has emerged as Ukraine's largest supporter, having provided approximately $128 billion—more than the cumulative contributions from the 27 nations of the European Union, which total around $124 billion. This financial backing is intended to bolster Ukraine's defense capabilities against Russian aggression.

Steve Witkoff, the U.S. Special Envoy involved in these discussions, appeared on CNN's "State of the Union" program, where he expressed confidence, stating, "I expect Zelenskyy will sign the mineral agreement this week." Witkoff also conveyed insights on the prior reluctance of Ukraine to comply with U.S. demands concerning rare earth mineral concessions, indicating the changing dynamics of these negotiations.

Zelenskyy underscored his determination to secure specific security guarantees as part of any agreement. He acknowledged the complexity of these negotiations, particularly the existing tensions surrounding NATO's military alliance. Witkoff noted the influence of European nations in supporting Ukraine's war efforts but pointed out the lack of similar repayment arrangements from the U.S.

Former President Donald Trump has also weighed in on the dialogue surrounding Ukraine's responsibilities and how any debt incurred should be addressed. During his remarks, he described Zelenskyy as "a dictator" and pressured him to understand the need for Ukraine to repay its debt, claiming his administration would have negotiated differently. Trump highlighted past talks with Putin as more effective than those with Ukraine.

During the press conference, Zelenskyy communicated his desire for Trump to grasp the situation fully, implying the need for clear security guarantees to withstand Russia's demands. He candidly remarked, "If this means peace for Ukraine, if you truly need me to leave my position, I would do it," illustrating the lengths to which he would go to achieve peace and security for his country.

Further discussions between U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov have surfaced as part of efforts to establish peace negotiations aimed at resolving the conflict. Notably absent from these talks were Ukrainian and European representatives, which has raised concerns among officials.

Critics of the previous U.S. administration speculate whether the current conflict could have been avoided had NATO expansion not been pursued. Witkoff has emphasized the significant consequences of Ukraine's previous movements toward NATO membership, implying such actions could have precipitated the war.

Currently, Russia holds approximately 20% of internationally recognized Ukrainian territory, and Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov stated unequivocally on Sunday, "No one will sell these territories." Such statements reflect the remaining tensions and the uncompromising stance of Moscow concerning territorial disputes.

With the need for security and financial stability intensifying, these negotiations take on greater importance as the conflict continues. Ukraine remains steadfast, emphasizing its need for not only military support but also financial mechanisms to alleviate long-term burdens on future generations.

These developments underline the increasingly complex relationship between Ukraine and the United States, as both strive to secure their interests amid the continuing threat posed by Russia. The road forward may be fraught with challenges, but dialogue remains pivotal as both sides look for ways to navigate this turbulent geopolitical climate.