Scottish independence has always sparked passion and debate, but recent developments show the movement is currently at a crossroads. Various events and strategies are being reevaluated among pro-independence groups as attitudes shift, both politically and socially. The pro-independence group, All Under One Banner (AUOB), has announced it will not organize any marches this year, marking a significant turn from its past practices. Originally, they had scheduled for September 7th but were prompted to reconsider after another demonstration was planned, leading to the cancellation. This decision to withdraw the march emphasizes the group's intent to reflect on their strategies and possibly discover new methods to galvanize support for independence.
The AUOB's statement indicated their desire to expand beyond mere marching, highlighting the need for different approaches to sustain the independence movement. Over the years, AUOB has hosted 42 marches since 2014, bringing together supporters across Scotland, but they recognize the necessity to rethink and innovate. A spokesperson from the group asserted the importance of marches, explaining how these events helped manifest Scotland's desire for independence, drawing attention not just locally but internationally. Yet, they reiterated the need to evolve and adapt the push for independence, seeking new strategies as they prepare for 2025.
Meanwhile, over in Holyrood, Scottish National Party (SNP) figures like John Swinney are urging fellow campaigners to instill confidence among Scots about independence. Speaking during what he referred to as a 'day of action' at Kelvingrove Park, Swinney remarked on the need for significant outreach over the next few years. With the independence referendum's ten-year anniversary just passed, his call for action seems especially relevant. He acknowledges the challenges of rekindling the enthusiasm for independence, especially considering the 55% to 45% result from the 2014 referendum which saw Scots vote to remain part of the UK.
Opinion polls show a somewhat stagnant support for independence, leaving the SNP with the task of reigniting the movement. Swinney emphasized the potential benefits of independence, ranging from economic opportunities to more control over Scotland’s policies. He wants to advocate for the ability to freely engage with European markets and take meaningful actions on issues like nuclear disarmament—a core concern for many Scottish voters. His comments convey not only optimism but also determination to continue advocating for independence as Scotland envisions its future.
Simultaneously, the SNP has faced setbacks, reflecting on their recent defeat during the 2024 general election. This marked the first election loss for the party since 2010, leading to the reduction of its MP numbers at Westminster. With Labour positioning to reclaim the Holyrood majority, the SNP is now vying to maintain its influence and prove its relevance to the current electorate. Despite some frustrations from voters about the relentless focus on independence, Swinney insists the movement remains central to the party’s identity.
Notably, Scottish Labour has been vocal about moving past the independence debate, asserting their focus on pressing societal issues like health care, education, and economic stability. Critics of the SNP, such as Scottish Conservatives, also claim the party isn’t fully respecting the 2014 referendum result. A call for more practical governance rather than recurring debates highlights the growing complexity surrounding the push for independence.
It seems both AUOB's decision to pause its marches and Swinney’s push for renewed dialogue on independence represent contrasting yet complementary aspects of the broader independence movement. Supporters are uncertain, faced with complex dilemmas about how to proceed. Activism has taken many forms; beyond marches, community outreach, informational campaigns, and legislative lobbying are now at the forefront of independence advocacy.
Despite the challenges, the discussions around independence remain vibrant as politicians and activists look for fresh perspectives amid changing political landscapes. The next few years will see both AUOB and the SNP striving to redefine their roles and tactics within the framework of the independence debate. Will these adaptations invigorate the movement or dilute its essence? Only time will tell as Scots navigate these pivotal choices.
