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06 February 2025

Nissan Scraps $60 Billion Merger Talks With Honda

Heightened tensions over merger conditions lead to abandoned negotiations between Japanese automakers.

Japan – Months after announcing a potential merger deal, Nissan has reportedly halted its discussions with Honda over plans for what could have been the world’s third-largest automaker.

According to various reports, including one from Reuters, merger negotiations, originally valued at $60 billion, encountered irreconcilable differences, primarily over the company's structure. While the initial plan was to create a joint holding company with equal shares, Honda suggested making Nissan its subsidiary, which Nissan saw as diverging from their original approach.

"Nissan baulked at the idea, as it deviated from the original plan of a merger between equals," stated one anonymous source. This restructuring proposal raised alarms within Nissan, which is facing significant financial challenges as it seeks to implement its turnaround strategies.

On the Tokyo Stock Exchange, Nissan’s shares dropped over 4% following news of the halted negotiations, prompting a temporary trading suspension. Conversely, Honda’s stock surged by more than 8%, reflecting investor relief at the deal's apparent collapse.

Both Nissan and Honda have clarified their position, asserting the Nikkei report was not based on official information and reiterated their goal of making a decision by mid-February. The companies had initially aimed to finalize their merger framework by the end of January but have since pushed this timeline back.

Last month, sources indicated Mitsubishi Motors, Nissan’s smaller alliance partner, might reconsider its involvement in the merger and could no longer participate. This development adds to the uncertainty surrounding the future of these negotiations.

Nissan’s board reportedly met recently to discuss terminating the memorandum of understandings signed back in December, which had outlined the preliminary agreement for integration.

Market analysts have raised concerns about Nissan’s potential to recover independently, following reports of massive job cuts and significant reductions in production capacity. "For Nissan, it was naive to think they could go forth as equals," noted Fumio Matsumoto, chief strategist at Okasan Securities. "If you’re going to do it, it needs to be clear who’s on top."

Renault, another player within the Nissan alliance, had also voiced concerns, advising Nissan last week to negotiate for a higher premium for its share. With Nissan’s financial condition and mounting operational challenges, analysts suggest it may need to seek new partnerships to navigate its recovery.

This merger was initially seen as beneficial for both parties, allowing them to pool resources to develop future electric vehicles and streamline costs. The proposed partnership was expected to boost their competitive position against rivals like Tesla and various Chinese automakers, which continue to gain traction worldwide.

Honda, with its market value significantly overshadowing Nissan's, has been cautious about the balance of power within this potential alliance. Sources point out Honda’s growing concerns about its smaller rival's stalled recovery efforts.

Nissan has faced hurdles over recent years, including former CEO Carlos Ghosn's controversial exit and decreased vehicle sales across major markets like the U.S. and China. These setbacks have analysts predicting dire consequences if the company fails to enact transformative changes soon.

Following the failed merger discussions, the spotlight is back on Nissan, prompting industry watchers to question the automaker's ability to navigate these turbulent waters without strategic partnerships.

With the January deadline for updates missed and uncertainty looming over the negotiations, both companies are now tasked with reevaluing their priorities moving forward. Industry experts highlight April as particularly important, marking the date for potential announcements about their respective strategies.

"Investors are undoubtedly anxious about Nissan's future and its turnaround prospects," commented Morningstar analyst Vincent Sun. "The company holds larger risk exposure to potential tariffs than Honda and Toyota, compelling them to reconsider their strategic direction as they chart the next steps."

The potential Honda-Nissan merger has captured considerable attention, emphasizing the need for cooperation between the two autogiant counterparts. This moment serves as a stark reminder of the volatile nature of the automotive industry, particularly as companies adapt strategies to effectively respond to future market demands and challenges.

What happens next remains uncertain, but as their respective strategies evolve, there may yet be room for negotiations to restart. While Nissan’s current financial struggles bring anxiety, observers stress the importance of maintaining bilateral channels to alleviate the immediate pressures faced by both companies.

Therefore, as Nissan and Honda reflect on these discussions, the specter of collaboration persists, even as timelines shift, and market conditions fluctuate. The outcome of these deliberations could very much shape the future of not just the companies involved, but also the global automotive marketplace moving forward.