Intense cold conditions continue to grip Jammu and Kashmir, with the India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasting light rain and snowfall across the region over the next 24 hours. Frigid temperatures have raised concerns among residents, particularly farmers and orchardists, who fear for their crops as precipitation remains scarce.
The IMD reports light rain is expected to affect the plains of the Jammu division, accompanied by snowfall on higher reaches of the Valley. The absence of sufficient moisture during this period is particularly alarming for cultivators, as it could jeopardize the prospects for the Rani crop and the apple production slated for 2025.
On Friday, minimum temperatures were recorded at -7.3 degrees Celsius in Srinagar, -6 degrees Celsius in Gulmarg, and -8 degrees Celsius in Pahalgam. The Jammu region saw warmer nights, with lows ranging between 7.4 degrees Celsius and freezing temperatures reported at various locations. The dramatic drop and sustained sub-zero temperatures have led to the freezing of water supply lines and propelled the health concerns linked to extreme cold, including frostbite and hypothermia.
Dive deep, and you'll find the stringent winter conditions are part of the 40-day-long period known as 'Chillai Kalan', which traditionally brings heavy snowfall, replenishing the region's significant water reservoirs. According to the IMD, this year, there is heightened apprehension due to the unseasonably dry spell extending over the weeks, sparking fears of severe summer water shortages and crop failures.
To ward off the cold, locals wrap themselves in traditional oversized tweed garments known as ‘Pheran’ and utilize earthen firepots called ‘Kangri’ to fend off the frigid air. Health experts have advised vulnerable groups, including elderly individuals and children, to limit their exposure to harsh weather and stay adequately insulated.
An active western disturbance is anticipated, likely influencing weather patterns to produce light snowfall over the higher altitudes and light rain across the Jammu plains. Reports indicate the potential for about 10 inches of snow to accumulate over some extreme higher altitudes, reflecting the season's significance for water sources.
The cold wave has been particularly potent, with temperatures across the Kashmir Valley settling several degrees below the seasonal average. Notably, Qazigund registered -6.9 degrees Celsius, with Konibal hamlet logging the coldest night at -9.5 degrees Celsius.
This extreme cold has spawned broader disruptions, such as affecting water resources; the iconic Dal Lake is currently covered with ice, creating unforeseen setbacks for local residents. "Snowfall remains a possibility in parts of south Kashmir..." noted the IMD, foreseeing light rain or intermittent snow across the region. This anticipated precipitation offers hope for relief but echoes the urgency surrounding water management.
The community’s resilience is palpable, as farmers express anxiety about weather shifts. According to local projections, more snow could significantly affect agriculture, as the seasons traditionally pivot on the moisture sourced from winter precipitation.
It is also important to note the connection between these conditions and subsequent health advisories. Medical professionals have warned about increased risks of hypothermia exacerbated by prolonged exposure to freezing weather, particularly for the most vulnerable populations.
Looking forward, from December 29-31, dry weather is anticipated, but the IMD has confirmed the likelihood of snow returning to scattered areas from January 1-5. This balance of conditions creates challenges for residents to prepare adequately, both socially and economically.
During this winter period, not only is agriculture affected, but the daily lives of residents fluctuate alongside the changing temperatures and variances in precipitation. The insights from the Meteorological Centre underline the interplay between environmental conditions and regional livelihood, reinforcing the importance of winter weather patterns to sustained life during the unforgiving summer months.
Each year the community braces for the harsh realities of 'Chillai Kalan', and with every snowfall, seasonal hopes ride on the snowy shoulders of winter. The ambient chill and fear of future water shortages create poignant reminders of the interconnectedness of climate and life within Jammu and Kashmir's lifeblood—the water sources shaped during these frosty months.
