Today : Feb 28, 2025
Economy
28 February 2025

February 2025 Global Economic Indicators Show Mixed Trends

India's forex reserves rise, Qatar adjusts fuel prices as U.S. inflation cools.

February 28, 2025 marks significant milestones in global economic indicators as countries report their latest financial data, showcasing a mixture of promising developments and steady measures aimed at economic stabilization.

Beginning with India, the country's foreign exchange reserves have increased by $4.758 billion, reaching $640.479 billion for the week ending February 21. This notable rise follows a decline of $2.54 billion recorded the prior week. According to local media, this surge marks the highest forex reserves seen over the past two months. The Indian central bank's data highlights improvements across various components, with foreign currency assets climbing by $4.251 billion to $543.843 billion, and gold reserves increasing by $426 million to $74.576 billion. Additional figures revealed special drawing rights up by $73 million, totaling $17.971 billion.

Meanwhile, Qatar has announced its fuel prices for March 2025, which reflect adjustments alongside international market trends. The price of super-grade petrol will remain stable at QR 2.10 per litre, whereas the price for premium-grade petrol has edged up to QR 2.05 per litre. Diesel will continue to be charged at QR 2.05 per litre. QatarEnergy's decision to announce petrol prices is part of the broader effort to align local fuel descriptions with international pricing standards, which have been adopted since September 2017.

On the financial front, the Qatar Central Bank (QCB) has issued bills totaling QR 1.5 billion for various maturities, including 7, 35, 91, 168, 245, and 364 days. Announcements made via the X platform detail the distribution of these bills, with QR 500 million offered for 7-day bills at a 4.610 percent interest rate. Other issuances include QR 200 million across longer maturity periods at varying rates, with total auction bids reaching QR 6 billion. These actions suggest QCB's informed strategy to manage liquidity and stimulate growth within the Qatari economy.

Shifting focus to the United States, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure has shown signs of cooling. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose by 2.5 percent year-on-year as of January. The U.S. Commerce Department's report noted this was slightly down from the previous month, indicating easing underlying price pressures. Month-to-month inflation rose by 0.3 percent, aligning with forecasts expected by economists surveyed.

The Fed's core inflation index—which excludes volatile food and energy costs—also recorded month-on-month increases of 0.3 percent and year-on-year increases of 2.6 percent, slightly less than what was experienced the previous month. Despite the inflation being above the Fed's long-term target of 2 percent, economic growth remains resilient. The job market has remained strong, sustaining unemployment rates near historic lows.

The Federal Reserve recently voted to maintain its key lending rate within the range of 4.25 to 4.50 percent, indicating its approach to rate cuts will be deliberate going forward. This aligns with prevailing market expectations, which suggest pauses on rate reductions may continue amid persistent inflation pressures. Personal income for January saw an uptick of 0.4 percent from the preceding month, which reflects consumer confidence amid rising prices. The personal saving rate remained steady at 3.8 percent of disposable income.

When considering these updates, the interplay of local economic performance, inflation rates, and central bank measures contributes to the global economic climate characterized by cautious optimism. Each country's initiatives, whether through enhancing forex reserves or regulating local fuel prices, serve as individual responses to global economic trends and domestic pressures. The overall scenario indicates varied but interlinked efforts to sustain economic stability as nations navigate the challenges and evolutions anticipated through the rest of 2025.