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26 February 2025

ENEOS Holdings To Halt Ethylene Production Amid Declining Demand

Company considers significant production cuts at Kawasaki refinery due to falling market conditions and increased competition.

ENEOS Holdings is making strategic alterations to its production processes as it considers halting part of its ethylene production at its Kawasaki refinery. This decision is not being made lightly, as it reflects the company's response to the significant shifts within the petrochemical industry marked by declining domestic demand and increased competition from abroad.

ENEOS, Japan's largest oil refiner, announced on the 26th its discussions surrounding the possibility of reducing ethylene production capacity at its Kawasaki location, which remains its sole site engaged in this production. The proposed timeline for implementing this change stretches until the end of fiscal year 2027. The refinery holds annual production capabilities of around 1 million tons of ethylene, but the company is considering stopping approximately 450,000 tons due to financial pressures exacerbated by increasing output from Chinese manufacturers and sluggish local consumption.

The current state of the domestic ethylene market is concerning; according to the Petrochemical Industry Association, the ethylene production capacity utilization rate stood at 80.6% as of January. This is markedly below the healthy benchmark of 90%, with such low utilization observed for thirty consecutive months. The weak performance is attributed to oversupply fueled by aggressive production boosts from Chinese competitors, compelling companies like ENEOS to reassess their operational strategies significantly.

“ENEOS announced on the 26th it's considering halting part of ethylene production at the Kawasaki refinery due to worsened profitability caused by increasing production from China and sluggish domestic demand,” reported by Nikkei. This stark acknowledgment highlights the challenges the company faces as it navigates fluctuational dynamics within the petrochemical sector.

The ramifications of these potential halts do not only pertain to ENEOS alone. Rival firms are also reevaluated their positions. For example, Idemitsu Kosan and subsidiaries of Cosmo Energy Holdings have similarly expressed intentions to cease operations at their ethylene production sites due to comparable pressures. Such widespread consideration to cut back production might indicate broader struggles impacting the entire industry.

Considering these alarming statistics, the need for ENEOS to pivot and adapt is evident. The company is likely seeking to realign its operations to more sustainable levels and respond effectively to the changing market demands. This strategic decision might also reflect on ENEOS's future directions as they assess how best to position themselves against both national and international challenges.

Moving forward, it will be intriguing to observe how ENEOS’s potential adjustments will influence its market share and operational performance, especially as competition remains fierce and the market trends evolve. The future holds uncertainties as the company and the industry as a whole must adjust to redefined economic landscapes, driven by both global supply chains and domestic demand nuances.