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Politics
23 February 2025

CDU/CSU Wins German Elections, AfD Rises To Prominence

The 2021 election results indicate historic shifts, signaling challenges for the SPD and coalition dynamics.

The 2021 German Federal Elections, held on September 26, marked a transformative moment for the nation’s political scene, as the results indicated significant shifts, particularly for the far-right Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), which emerged as the second-largest party. This election, prompted by the collapse of the prior coalition government led by Olaf Scholz’s Social Democratic Party (SPD), saw the CDU/CSU led by Friedrich Merz positioning itself as the largest party, reporting about 28.5% of the votes cast.

According to projections, the AfD followed closely behind with approximately 20% of the electorate favoring them, witnessing almost double the support compared to their previous standings. The SPD, which had dominated the previous elections, slumped to around 16.5%, marking what SPD Secretary Mirsch labeled as “a historic defeat” for the party, causing consternation among its supporters and leaders alike.

Voter turnout reflected unprecedented engagement, reaching approximately 84%—the highest since German reunification in 1990. This substantial turnout highlighted the electorate's eagerness to influence the political spectrum and signal their priorities post-crisis. “The turnout is the highest since reunification,” stated German election officials, underscoring the importance of the elections to contemporary voters.

Friedrich Merz, after claiming the victory for the CDU/CSU, expressed satisfaction with the campaign effort. “We have run a hard campaign, but it was necessary,” he commented, acknowledging the pressing issues of migration and security as central themes during the campaign. Meanwhile, the CDU also faces substantial challenges moving forward, particularly concerning coalition formation and governance. Thorsten Frei, the party secretary, wisely noted, “If this forecast becomes reality, it will be a huge challenge to build a stable government based on these results.”

Alice Weidel, leader of the AfD, wasted no time declaring her interest in participating within the new government. “We reach out our hand to participate in the government,” she asserted, emphasizing the party’s newfound strength and willingness to engage politically. The prospect of including AfD members is controversial, with many within the CDU historically opposing collaboration with them.

Reflecting on these dynamics, the German political scene appears fraught with opportunities and challenges as parties navigate their roles following this election. Future coalition talks will be pivotal, with Merz’s CDU/CSU expected to negotiate potential agreements with either the SPD, currently reeling from its losses, or the Greens, which also registered lower support than anticipated at 13%.

The fallout from the elections will likely extend beyond Germany’s borders, compelling the European Union to reassess its strategies and relationships with its largest member country, particularly as more radical political alignment emerges. The rise of the AfD has prompted discussions surrounding the viability of democratic norms and the distance between the extreme right and mainstream parties amid concerns of social discord.

With about thirty percent of the populace estimated to remain undecided leading up to voting day, the political climate had already suggested significant unease among voters, particularly concerning economic stability as Germany navigated through post-pandemic recovery and infrastructure challenges. Analysts reiterated their recognition of these sentiments, insisting on immediate attention to these societal concerns to restore faith and stability within the government.

Many Germans feel strongly about the direction of the country, especially concerning migration policies, which have become central to party agendas. Observers note significant themes such as migration and the economy were focal points throughout the campaign, reflecting wider discontent with existing policies from the past coalition government. The CDU’s new policies advocate for stricter migration controls, which resonate with over 80% of the population according to polls.

Closing, as Germany embarks on this new political chapter, the need for cohesion and stabilization within the government becomes increasingly evident, especially with the looming possibility of radical elements gaining more influence. The results mark not only the end of one chapter but the uncertain opening of another—and certainly, all eyes remain fixed on Germany as it navigates these newfound political waters together.