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26 February 2025

BP And Iraq Finalize Historic Oil Development Agreement

The energy giant shifts focus back to oil and gas amid pressures from investors and changing market dynamics.

BP has finalized an agreement with Iraq to develop four major oil fields located in the northern province of Kirkuk, marking what could be one of the most significant strategic shifts for the company as it turns its focus back toward oil and gas production. This mega-project, agreed upon by Iraq's state-owned North Oil Company and BP, encompasses petroleum production, rehabilitation of facilities, and the capture as well as utilization of natural gas produced alongside crude oil.

The deal was officially announced on Tuesday and is the culmination of extensive negotiations and multiple memorandums of understandings. It includes significant undertakings at the Bai Hassan, Kirkuk, Jambur, and Khabbaz oil fields, with intents to boost production capacity from around 350,000 barrels per day to 500,000 barrels per day. According to Iraq's Oil Minister Hayan Abdel Ghani, "This project will target gas flaring and aims to reduce the practice, which is polluting and wasteful." This move aligns with Iraq's goal of curbing flared gas by 80 percent by the end of 2025.

BP's strategic pivot doesn't end with the Iraq deal. The energy giant finds itself under immense pressure to bolster profits and share prices, which have dipped significantly when compared to rivals like Shell and ExxonMobil. Corporate governance analysts note BP is now expected to cut its renewable energy investments by over half, abandoning its previous ambitions of reducing oil and gas output by 25% by 2030.

BP had previously captured attention for setting ambitious sustainability targets five years ago under former CEO Bernard Looney, who emphasized accelerating investments toward renewable resources. Analysts speculate today's changes could liken to a reverse shift back to traditional fossil fuels, reflected humorously as "Back to Petroleum." This has raised eyebrows among shareholders and environmental groups, as BP has received warnings of pushback for pivoting to fossil fuel expansion.

Chief Executive Murray Auchincloss's decision to change direction, reported by Financial Times, is being heavily influenced by activist investor Elliott Management. They have gained about five percent stake and are urging BP to focus more intensively on extracting profits from oil and gas—arguably leaving its previous renewable energy commitments behind. A spokesperson for one of the shareholders mentioned, "Long-term shareholders are uneasy about the pivot but recognize BP's transition efforts for energy sustainability."

The structural modifications accompanying the agreement with Iraq likely exchange BP's focus away from its green agenda, with plans to potentially divest its lubricants arm, Castrol, valued at about £8 billion. Analysts suggest such sales could control net debt but would come at the expense of BP’s green initiatives.

While BP’s new strategy appears to grant more immediate financial security, it could compromise long-term sustainability targets. The company's focus on oil and gas could yield immediate profits on production, but how it reconciles this shift with increasing demands for renewable energy investments remains to be seen. The future involves multiple facets, including maintaining oil production and translating those gains quickly. Analysts like Biraj Borkhataria point out the need for various operational adjustments from capital expenditure cuts, divestitures, and potentially heavier engagement back toward core fossil fuel businesses.

Given BP’s long history, particularly within Iraq dating back over 100 years, this new commitment may signify both hope for the company and revitalization for Iraq’s energy sector. It raises questions on how modern partnerships and investments can reshape markets when historical ties come back to bear influence amid changing global energy demands. BP’s capacity to reorder its strategic outlook will not only define its future investments but sets the tone for broader expectations surrounding traditional oil operations amid shifting sentiments—the need for balancing short-term gains against the long-term crises of climate change remains ever apparent.

With BP placing significant bets on oil production and signaling a strategic reset, the energy giant faces pivotal moments as it attempts to regain footing against competitors and appease shareholders. The reconciliations of growth through fossil fuels with the global push toward cleaner energy remains BP’s greatest challenge, but one the company appears willing to navigate as newfound partnerships sprout within the oil-rich landscapes of Iraq.