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18 October 2025

Drought Threatens Sentry As McIlroy And McDowell Eye 2026 Glory

PGA Tour faces unprecedented uncertainty in Hawaii while Rory McIlroy and Graeme McDowell set bold international goals for the upcoming season

The world of professional golf is buzzing with anticipation and uncertainty as the 2026 season looms on the horizon. From possible tournament cancellations in Hawaii to the high-octane ambitions of Northern Ireland’s finest, Rory McIlroy and Graeme McDowell, the sport finds itself at a pivotal crossroads. With drought conditions, career-defining aspirations, and shifting leadership in the PGA Tour, the coming months promise to reshape the landscape of elite golf.

Let’s start in the sun-soaked, but currently parched, fairways of Hawaii. NBC and Golf Channel analyst Mark Rolfing sent shockwaves through the golf community on October 17, 2025, when he suggested the PGA Tour may be forced to cancel the iconic season-opening Sentry tournament at Kapalua. That’s right—cancel, not postpone or relocate. "I don't think there is any scenario where the Sentry can be played in 2026," Rolfing declared on The Fried Egg podcast. The reason? Relentless drought has left the Plantation Course unplayable, and the PGA Tour’s own agronomy team confirmed there’s simply not enough time to restore the grounds before the scheduled January 8-11, 2026, tee-off.

Golf fans may recall that just last year, the Tour moved the Genesis Invitational from Riviera Country Club to Torrey Pines due to wildfires, but this time, the situation appears even more dire. Rolfing noted, "We're 85 days away from the start of the tournament. It's just too late. There's just no time for planning." The PGA Tour had already confirmed in September that the $20 million event would need to be moved, but as of mid-October, no alternative venue or solution has emerged. The schedule is packed, and the window for replanning is closing fast. While no final decision has been made, the prospect of outright cancellation would be unprecedented in the Tour’s modern era.

As the PGA Tour grapples with these logistical headaches, its leadership is also in transition. Brian Rolapp, announced as the new CEO in June 2025, has wasted little time in making his mark. On October 17, Rolapp confirmed two new additions to the Tour’s leadership team, both with significant experience in the NFL—a move that could signal a fresh, business-savvy approach to navigating golf’s evolving challenges. Current commissioner Jay Monahan, who has steered the ship for nine years, will step down at the end of 2026, marking the end of an era and the dawn of another.

While the PGA Tour’s future in Hawaii hangs in the balance, Rory McIlroy is charting his own ambitious path into 2026. The Northern Irishman, already the toast of the golfing world after a sensational 2025, is planning a globe-trotting schedule that reflects both his competitive hunger and newfound global ethos. McIlroy’s past year has been nothing short of remarkable: completing the career Grand Slam, capturing his home Irish Open, and playing a pivotal role in a Ryder Cup victory that’s already gone down in legend.

But McIlroy isn’t resting on his laurels. He’ll cap off 2025 by competing in the Australian Open at Royal Melbourne in December—a venue where he tasted victory back in 2013. Then, it’s straight into a Middle Eastern double-header to kick off 2026, starting with the Dubai Invitational from January 15-18, followed by the Dubai Desert Classic from January 22-25. His schedule also includes the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship (November 6-9, 2025) and the DP World Tour Championship (November 13-16, 2025). For McIlroy, the chase is on for a fourth consecutive finish as European No.1 and a record-tying seventh top finish in the Race To Dubai standings—just one shy of Colin Montgomerie’s all-time mark.

Sports journalist Paul Higham, who has covered some of McIlroy’s finest moments, reflects on the golfer’s relentless drive: "That will bring an end to what has been an emotional but highly successful year for McIlroy—probably his most memorable considering the size of his achievements." McIlroy’s global schedule and hunger for more silverware have set the stage for another blockbuster campaign, with fans and pundits alike eager to see if he can continue rewriting the record books.

Meanwhile, another Northern Irishman is feeling the pull of golf’s grandest stages. Graeme McDowell, the 2010 U.S. Open champion, has publicly admitted that he misses the unique thrill of the Majors. "I miss the Majors," McDowell confessed on October 18, 2025, echoing a sentiment familiar to many veterans of the sport. His last appearance in a Major was at the Masters Tournament in 2020, and while he’s enjoyed competing on the LIV Golf circuit, the lure of the game’s most prestigious events remains strong.

McDowell is set to tee it up at the seventh International Series event of the season—the Links Hong Kong Open at the Hong Kong Golf Club. This Asian Tour event, which doubles as a mini-circuit within the larger calendar, offers more than just prize money and Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) points. The winner will also secure coveted spots in the Masters Tournament and the Open Championship, two of golf’s most hallowed competitions. "It would be fantastic to win," McDowell said, his eyes firmly set on a return to the sport’s biggest stages. "I played the Masters in 2020, and that was the last time I played in a Major. Obviously, I enjoy what I'm doing. I enjoy the LIV Golf schedule, but I miss the big tournaments. I miss the Majors."

The Asian Tour’s growing importance as a gateway to the Majors hasn’t gone unnoticed, especially among Saudi League players eager to accrue OWGR points and keep their Major dreams alive. The Hong Kong Open, with defending champion Patrick Reed in the field, promises to be a fiercely contested battleground with high stakes for all involved.

Against this backdrop of ambition, nostalgia, and uncertainty, the sport of golf finds itself at a fascinating juncture. Will the PGA Tour find a last-minute solution for the Sentry, or will history be made with its first-ever cancellation? Can Rory McIlroy maintain his blistering form and chase down Montgomerie’s record? And will Graeme McDowell’s yearning for the Majors be rewarded with another shot at glory?

One thing’s for sure: as the 2026 season approaches, golf fans have plenty of drama, emotion, and world-class competition to look forward to—no matter how the chips fall in Hawaii and beyond.