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Technology
16 December 2024

Will TikTok Survive The US Government's Ban Threat?

New legal pressures heighten the stakes for TikTok amid national security concerns.

TikTok is feeling the heat as it faces an impending ban, driven by increased legal pressures from the United States. The app, widely celebrated for its engaging short-video format, is under scrutiny as the government demands its removal from major tech platforms like Apple's App Store and Google Play Store by January 19, 2025, if it cannot divest from its Chinese ownership.

This drastic move stems from fears surrounding national security and data privacy concerning the millions of Americans who actively use the platform. TikTok's parent company, ByteDance, is now at the forefront of heated discussions over its future, igniting questions about whether this could spark a more extensive tech war between the US and China.

On December 13, members of the House, such as John Moolenaar and Raja Krishnamoorthi, sent stern warnings to Apple and Google, emphasizing, "Congress has provided 233 days for ByteDance to find a buyer. If it does not divest, keeping TikTok on app stores will be illegal." Experts like Forbes suggest hefty fines await these tech giants should they fail to comply with the mandated deadline.

With TikTok boasting around 170 million users in the US, analysts caution the ramifications could be severe. Should the ruling be enforced, it could effectively cut off the app from half of the nation's user base. TikTok has already warned of severe disruptions, declaring the platform's removal would leave operations crippled. Interestingly, the Justice Department has clarified the ban wouldn’t immediately stop existing users from accessing the app but would hinder new downloads and updates.

Senator Josh Hawley voiced the sharp sentiment behind the push, declaring, "There’s no question our national security is at stake." His comments echo broader bipartisan concerns over the app's operations and data practices, highlighting the pervasive fear of foreign espionage through popular consumer technology.

The situation escalated when on December 9, TikTok filed for an emergency appeal to the US Court of Appeals seeking to halt the ban, but this plea was swiftly denied on December 14. TikTok’s spokesman, Michael Hughes, expressed optimism, stating, "We hope the Supreme Court will continue to uphold this tradition of protecting Americans' free speech." His words reflect the platform’s strategy of positioning itself as a defender of user rights amid these deliberations.

The Supreme Court is set to play a pivotal role as it could swiftly decide on the fate of the application. Legal experts anticipate challenges, noting the court's conservative majority may favor the federal viewpoint prioritizing national security over concerns about free expression. Josh Schiller, a legal analyst, earlier proclaimed, "The Supreme Court might very well uphold the ban due to national security reasons." This could leave TikTok with little recourse once the ruling is set.

Meanwhile, internal politics complicate the situation. With President Biden previously signing legislation necessitating TikTok's divestiture from Chinese ownership, he retains the option to extend timelines if ByteDance shows viable progress toward selling the application. Nonetheless, no indications from the Biden administration suggest such leniency would be afforded to TikTok.

What's more, the specter of former President Donald Trump looms large. Trump, who championed efforts to ban TikTok during his administration, reportedly holds conflicting views and could potentially stymie the ban if he returns to power post-2025. Yet, legal and political impediments must be overcome to execute this intention.

For now, TikTok's management is left grappling with urgent decisions. They’ve tried to call for timelines to be reassessed and have insisted on the platform's value to its users and cultural significance. Industry analysts note, "We're operating under the impression the ban will happen, and TikTok has two choices: sell or exit." The continued push from both Democratic and Republican lawmakers places immense pressure on ByteDance to act decisively.

Looking toward the future, the potential ban raises pressing questions about the survival of TikTok not only within the US market but also concerning broader tech relationships on the global stage. The app's fate hangs delicately, where one miscalculated move could lead to its dissolution from the app marketplace, shaking the tech fabric to its core.

To conclude, as the US government’s demands on Apple and Google to remove TikTok draw nearer, it signals heightened stakes for cybersecurity and user privacy. While posing challenges for tech firms and users alike, the pivotal question remains—can TikTok seize the opportunity to adjust its course and retain its presence within the significant US market?