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19 September 2025

Why Experts Urge Waiting Until October For Flu Shots

Insurers promise full coverage for flu and COVID-19 vaccines as health officials warn of rising risks and urge timely immunization this fall.

As the leaves begin to fall and the chill of autumn creeps in, Americans are once again being urged to roll up their sleeves for the annual flu shot. But this year, experts are emphasizing not just the importance of getting vaccinated, but also the timing—advising most people to wait until October to ensure the best possible protection through the heart of flu season. It’s a message that comes amid shifting guidelines, insurance questions, and a sobering reminder of last year’s deadly toll on children and vulnerable populations.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) continues to recommend that everyone over the age of six months receive a flu shot each year, ideally by the end of October. According to Decomplicated, experts suggest aiming for an October vaccination—around Halloween—to make sure the vaccine’s effectiveness doesn’t wane before flu activity peaks, which often happens in late winter. "The vaccine's effectiveness may wane within weeks of administration, increasing the risk of contracting the flu later in the season," the publication noted, underscoring why timing can be as crucial as the act itself.

That advice takes on added urgency in light of last year’s sobering statistics. The 2024-25 flu season was the deadliest non-pandemic year on record for U.S. children, with 279 pediatric deaths and the highest hospitalization rates in more than a decade. It’s a stark reminder that influenza is far from a trivial illness. As Post Independent reported, thousands of Americans die every year from influenza and its complications—deaths that are largely preventable through annual vaccination.

For parents, there’s another important nuance: children under eight who have never received a flu shot are advised to get two doses, spaced at least four weeks apart, with the first dose serving as a primer. Children under six months, however, are too young for the vaccine, making it especially important for caregivers and family members to be immunized to protect the youngest and most vulnerable.

Why is annual vaccination so critical? As Dr. Greg Feinsinger, a retired family physician, explained in his Post Independent column, immunizations are among the most successful and cost-effective forms of disease prevention, stimulating the immune system to fend off infections without causing illness. "They have saved millions of lives worldwide, and prevented millions of cases of disability–such as deafness from measles, birth defects from rubella, and paralysis from polio," Feinsinger wrote. When it comes to influenza, the stakes are high: "Thousands of Americans die every year from influenza and its complications—and most of these deaths would be prevented if everyone obtained an annual flu shot."

Influenza is caused by a family of viruses—primarily influenza A and B, with C being milder—that circulate most actively during late fall, winter, and early spring. The virus is highly contagious, spreading through respiratory droplets from coughs and sneezes. Typical symptoms include fever, chills, malaise, body aches, chest discomfort, headache, nasal stuffiness, dry cough, and sore throat. Elderly patients may present with confusion or lassitude rather than classic symptoms. Complications can be severe, ranging from sinus and ear infections to bronchitis and pneumonia, with pneumonia often being the cause of flu-related deaths.

It takes about two weeks for the vaccine to become fully effective, so waiting too long into the season can leave people exposed during the early surge. On the other hand, vaccinating too early—say, in August—could mean immunity fades before the flu’s late-winter peak. That’s why October is the sweet spot, according to experts cited by Decomplicated and Post Independent.

The benefits of flu vaccination extend beyond simply avoiding a miserable week in bed. According to Decomplicated, getting the flu shot can reduce the severity of illness and lower the risk of death by 31 percent. There’s also mounting evidence that flu shots reduce the risk of heart attacks and strokes, as infections like influenza can trigger inflammation that destabilizes arterial plaque. Feinsinger cited a large study showing that up to 91,000 Americans die annually from heart attacks and strokes triggered by the flu—deaths not included in official flu statistics.

Despite these clear benefits, flu vaccination rates in the U.S. remain stubbornly below optimal levels. The New York Times recently highlighted confusion surrounding vaccine access and insurance coverage, especially after the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued new COVID-19 vaccine guidelines this year. The FDA now recommends COVID-19 shots primarily for people 65 and older or those with underlying health conditions, a shift from previous guidance that urged nearly everyone six and older to get vaccinated. This change, coupled with the firing and replacement of the entire CDC Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) by Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy in June, left many Americans unsure whether insurers would continue to cover vaccines outside the new guidelines.

On Tuesday, the insurance industry’s main trade group, AHIP, stepped in to clear the air. According to PhillyVoice, AHIP announced that as of September 1, 2025, major health insurers will cover the cost of COVID-19, flu, and other vaccines regardless of what the CDC's advisory panel recommends—at least through 2026. Independence Blue Cross, the largest insurer in the Philadelphia region, echoed this assurance, stating, "Independence Blue Cross continues to provide coverage for routine preventive vaccines at no cost to members. This coverage is in line with the preventive care service requirements outlined in the Affordable Care Act. It is also guided by recommendations from the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices, as well as by professional society guidelines and evidence of vaccine safety and effectiveness."

Elsewhere, states like Pennsylvania and New Jersey have issued orders allowing pharmacists to vaccinate against COVID-19 without prescriptions, making it easier for people to get both their COVID and flu shots at the same time. Pharmacies, doctors’ offices, and public health clinics remain the primary venues for flu vaccinations, with the vaccine updated annually to keep up with the ever-changing virus—a process known as “genetic drift.”

Still, public health officials are sounding the alarm about falling vaccination rates, especially among children. NBC News found that childhood vaccination rates have dropped in nearly 80% of U.S. counties since 2019. "As childhood vaccination rates fall, we'll see more diseases like measles," Dr. Sean O'Leary of the American Academy of Pediatrics told NBC. "And we'll see more children die — tragically — from diseases that are essentially entirely preventable."

For those still hesitant, doctors stress that side effects from the flu shot are rare, usually limited to mild soreness at the injection site. Contrary to popular myth, the flu shot cannot cause the flu; what sometimes happens is people contract a different virus around the time of vaccination and mistakenly blame the shot. Rapid flu tests can help diagnose cases, though false negatives are not uncommon.

As the nation heads into another unpredictable flu season, the message from public health experts is clear: get vaccinated, get the timing right, and help protect not only yourself but also the most vulnerable members of your community. With insurance companies guaranteeing coverage and vaccines widely available, there’s little standing in the way—except perhaps a little procrastination. And this year, waiting until October might just be the smartest move of all.