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Climate & Environment
24 December 2024

Warm Christmas Forecast Leaves Snow Dreams Melted

Mild temperatures across the UK and Ireland signal unseasonal weather for the festive season.

This year’s Christmas is turning out to be more of a sunny picnic than the frosty wonderland many have come to expect. Across the UK and Ireland, unseasonably warm conditions are forecasted, with temperatures soaring above the usual December averages. Instead of contemplative moments surrounded by snow-covered trees and cheerful fireplace gatherings, families may find themselves barbecuing under blue skies.

Jim Dale, meteorologist for British Weather Services, indicates potential readings reaching double figures during the Christmas week. He remarked, “If there is any snow hanging around from the unsettled period leading up to Christmas, that's going to be it. There is little to no chance of snow on Christmas Day, with temperatures widely above average.”

This shift from classic winter scenery is being driven by a unique mix of weather patterns, with warm air moving from the Azores combined with low pressure systems from the north of the UK. It's unlikely to be the hottest Christmas ever recorded, but places across Britain will experience temperatures around 11°C to possibly even 13°C, particularly down south. Dale noted, “We are not looking at record-breakers, but other than over the very highest tips of the Scottish mountains, we are neither looking at a White Christmas.”

For many Britons, this balmy weather marks what could be dubbed a ‘Green Christmas.’ It dampens the hopes of festive snow, as bookies have already begun betting against it, with odds shifting to indicate snowfall has become increasingly unlikely. Ladbrokes spokesperson Alex Apati mentioned, “It's bad news for White Christmas wishers. The odds of snow falling on Christmas Day are starting to head in the wrong direction.”

Meanwhile, Ireland is also basking under surprising warmth, with average maximum temperatures expected to reach between 11°C and 13°C on Christmas Day, equaling or surpassing some areas of southern Spain. Dublin recorded temperatures soaring up to 15°C on Christmas Eve, leaving it warmer than Barcelona, which barely reached 13°C. Met Éireann, the Irish meteorological service, noted, “While it may feel like a ‘heatwave’ to some, it’s important to note we don’t classify this as such.”

Even though this Christmas may showcase unusual temperature levels, drizzles and cloudy conditions are still on the forecast. Looking at St. Stephen’s Day, predictions suggest temperatures remain similarly mild but vary between rain for the west and drier spells elsewhere. Jake McDonald from Met Éireann explained, “The west and north may experience rain, but the east and midlands have drier breaks.”

Now, if we pivot to Liverpool, anticipation for holiday weather mirrors the sentiments elsewhere across the UK: mild and dry. The Met Office indicates less than 5% chance of rain with daytime high temperatures hovering between 10°C and 12°C. Deputy Chief Meteorologist Dan Harris stated, “If you are hoping for some snow across the country on Christmas Day, I’m sorry to say you will be disappointed.”

Similarly, London is set for what the Met Office calls ‘cloudy and grey’. With temperatures reaching around 11°C to 12°C, it’s clear this Christmas will fall short of the snowy expectations many hold dear. A London forecast predicts temperatures at 11°C throughout the day, with minimal chances of frost, leaving many locals wishing for winter trimmings to beautify their surroundings.

Across Northern Michigan, the season remains somewhat temperate for those spending their holidays there. Faith Fredrickson from the National Weather Service mentions, “We're expecting the high temperature to reach the mid to high 30s over the holiday week. Generally, it should be quiet, with only slight chances of drizzle on Christmas Day.”

It’s been noted through many outlets, including BBC, Irish Mirror, and other local news sources, the collective attitudes toward this warm festive season. People are questioning the weather patterns yet again as climate anomalies gradually shift traditional weather norms. Many have shared reflections on the cultural significance of snow during Christmas and how the absence of it feels rather unusual.

Looking forward, both the UK and Ireland may be experiencing shifts back to colder temperatures soon after the holiday as forecasts indicate potential for wintry weather as we step toward January. Some meteorologists predict the first week of January could witness colder conditions settling back, possibly bringing snow. Dale expressed hope stating, “Christmas may be mild now, but as we get to New Year, there is potential for something colder on the horizon.”

So, as families gather to celebrate Christmas Day without the traditional chill of winter, it’s wise to embrace the unique warmth of this festive season. Whether through scenic strolls on milder days or the simple joy of being together, Christmas 2024 may not fit the established mold, but it does present the chance for new memories, perhaps even around the grill instead of the roaring fire. If there's ever been a reminder to enjoy the present, this surely stands as one, whisking away the dreams of white-blanketed holidays, compelling people to adapt to the realities laid out before them.

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