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23 March 2025

U.S. Space Forces Warn Of Rising Chinese Capabilities In Orbit

Recent maneuvers by China's satellites suggest military intentions, raising concerns over space security.

American space forces have made alarming observations regarding China's growing capabilities in orbital operations, as reported by General Michael A. Guetlein. During a recent conference in Arlington, Virginia, Guetlein noted that five objects in low Earth orbit were maneuvering in a synchronized and controlled manner. He characterized these activities as a form of "air combat" in space, drawing attention to China's advanced tactics and methods for satellite operations.

This series of maneuvers, conducted by Chinese units in 2024, involved a group of experimental satellites known as Shiyan, which operate at low altitudes. According to CNN, such technologies might enable China to destroy or disable satellites, thereby disrupting critical military communications and global navigation systems. Such disruptions could have severe implications, hindering essential services like bank transactions and emergency responses.

Guetlein's remarks reflect a broader concern regarding the advancements made by both China and Russia in the context of space operations. He acknowledged that both nations have developed exceptional capabilities, including signal jamming technologies, laser systems capable of blinding reconnaissance satellites, and the capacity to intercept and relocate satellites. These capabilities, he warns, suggest a significant diminution of the United States' previous advantage in space.

Calling it the "most complex strategic environment" he has encountered in a long time—or even in history—Guetlein emphasized the technological gap that has significantly narrowed between the U.S. and its rivals. "In the past, there existed a gap between us, primarily due to technological advancements in the United States. That gap in capability has considerably diminished," he stated.

Clayton Swope, deputy head of space security projects at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, echoed Guetlein's concerns. According to Swope, maneuvering near other satellites could indicate the development of anti-satellite weapons. He explained that close encounters allow for a range of potentially hostile actions, such as launching nets or projectiles towards a targeted satellite or employing energy weapons like lasers and jamming devices.

As China continues to launch numerous satellites capable of executing complex maneuvers, the U.S. remains watchful over developments in Chinese space endeavors. The U.S. Space Forces reported on March 21, 2025, that these maneuvers were part of broader efforts to bolster China's capabilities for military operations in space.

While specifics regarding the objectives of these maneuvers remain unclear, experts speculate that they could play a role in a larger strategy aimed at countering threats in outer space. The possible ability of China to disable or destroy satellites stands to create serious risks for military communications and navigation systems used in both commercial and crisis management contexts.

The situation is compounded by China's commitment to utilizing space for peaceful purposes, as outlined by their public stance against the militarization of space. However, in a defense white paper from 2019, China identified the protection of its "security interests in space" as a key national goal. While the Chinese government asserts a positive narrative regarding its space programs, it continues to advance its military capabilities under a veil of academic and exploratory initiatives.

Notably, the recent orbital maneuvers involved three Shiyan-24C satellites and two additional Chinese objects designated Shijian-6 05A/B. The distinctions in functionality hint at a strategic purpose aligned with advanced weaponization potential.

Guetlein stressed the importance of the U.S. maintaining its deterring abilities against such complex threats, asserting that preparation is crucial for safeguarding its interests in the face of emerging rival capabilities. Concurrently, the American public and policymakers are urged to pay attention to the evolving landscape of space operations and military power dynamics.

As scrutiny increases regarding China and Russia's potential military applications of space technology, the U.S. remains on high alert. Policymakers emphasize the need for continued investment in space security frameworks to ensure stability and counter threats that may arise from advancements made by these countries.

The evolving nature of space, once seen primarily as a domain for exploration and research, is increasingly viewed through a strategic lens, shaping how nations approach their security policies and international relations.