The 2024 College Football Playoff has reached its semifinal round, pitting four of the sport's most prominent programs against each other as they vie for the national championship. This year's playoffs have turned the expected hierarchy of college football on its head, highlighting the unpredictability and excitement of the expanded 12-team format.
One of the most notable developments this year is the absence of the top four seeds. None of the teams receiving first-round byes made it to the semifinals, which has left fans and analysts scratching their heads. Instead, teams seeded 5-8 dominated the playoffs, with the semifinals featuring No. 5 Texas facing No. 8 Ohio State and No. 6 Penn State taking on No. 7 Notre Dame. Each of these matchups is complex, with historical significance and the potential for new champions.
This year's playoffs encapsulate the changing dynamics of college football. The 12-team format provides more opportunities for teams across conferences to compete for national glory. It's no longer just the SEC showcasing dominance, as we have traditionally witnessed. SEC champion Georgia, touted for their strength, suffered it out at the hands of Notre Dame, signaling the eroding gap between conferences.
Let’s take a closer look at the four contenders:
No. 5 Texas (13-2)
Despite struggles against powerhouse programs, Texas has been formidable against the rest of the nation. The Longhorns clinched their semifinal spot following a tight two-overtime victory over Arizona State. Crucial to their success has been receiver Matthew Golden, who caught seven passes for 149 yards and contributed significantly to the two-point conversion. Coach Steve Sarkisian emphasized the expectations surrounding Texas, saying, "We’re not in awe... This is where we’re supposed to be." With significant name, image, and likeness (NIL) earnings, quarterback Arch Manning stands out, reportedly earning $6.6 million, showcasing the lucrative opportunities accessible even to backups.
No. 6 Penn State (13-2)
Penn State has enjoyed their strength through consistency, but head coach James Franklin faces scrutiny after another loss to Oregon. Statistically, Franklin's record against top-10 teams sits at 3-19, and against Ohio State, he is 1-10, creating urgency around their semifinal match. Tight end Tyler Warren has emerged as an NFL prospect, boasting two touchdowns against Boise State. With quarterback Drew Allar also cashing in on NIL deals at around $4 million, expectations are high.
No. 7 Notre Dame (13-1)
Following their shockingly dismal start, where they stumbled against Northern Illinois, Notre Dame bounced back to put together twelve straight wins. Their special teams have emerged as playmakers under the guidance of coach Marty Biagi. Notably, they executed a successful kickoff return for a touchdown. Quarterback Riley Leonard earns roughly $1 million and has made significant strides since joining from Duke. Now, with aspirations for their first title since 1988, the stakes couldn't be higher.
No. 8 Ohio State (12-2)
Ohio State navigated rough waters this season, particularly following consecutive losses to Michigan. Despite hesitations surrounding coach Ryan Day’s job security, the Buckeyes have surged to the forefront of playoff discussions. Their breakout player, freshman wide receiver Jeremiah Smith, has made significant contributions, racking up 290 yards and four touchdowns, compelling attention as he approaches the NFL draft. Notably, they have emerged as the favorite for the title, thanks to their extensive playoff experience.
Transformations across this year's College Football Playoff echo broader changes within the sport, as competitive balance shifts. This year’s playoff has illuminated previously underappreciated contenders and sparked conversation about both the SEC's influence and other conferences' rising statuses. Many speculate whether Texas can wield their resilient first season back to the SEC to reclaim dominance. If they win it all, Texas will signal to the world of college football not merely their prowess but the increased parity now prevalent across various conferences.
The semifinal games are set to broadcast – No. 6 Penn State will face No. 7 Notre Dame on January 9, and No. 8 Ohio State will meet No. 5 Texas the following day, both airing on ESPN at 5:30 p.m. MST.
With anticipation building, fans are eager to see how this unprecedented playoff expansion will play out. Will traditional powers reclaim their place as the elite, or will the winds of change see new champions cut their path through the formidable brackets of the tournament?
Whichever way the playoffs culminate, this momentous season has already left its mark, shaping narratives and altering expectations across college football.