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10 March 2025

Ukraine Proposes Partial Ceasefire Amid US Talks

Negotiations aimed at normalizing US relations and addressing military aid take center stage this week.

Ukrainian officials are set to propose a partial ceasefire with Russia during bilateral talks with the United States, scheduled for March 11, 2025, in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. This development was reported by The Financial Times, indicating Kyiv's intention to demonstrate its commitment to peace amid the protracted conflict.

The proposal, which aims to prevent both nations from conducting long-range drone and missile strikes, as well as any combat operations within the Black Sea, is part of Ukraine's broader strategy to normalize its strained relations with the US, particularly following recent tensions involving Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

Last month, Zelensky faced criticism from US President Donald Trump after their public clash at the White House, where Trump suggested Zelensky was not fully committed to ending the fighting. At the time, Trump remarked on Fox News, stating, "nobody has been tougher on Russia than Donald Trump," but he also implied Kyiv had yet to display adequate desire for peace.

During the upcoming talks, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and National Security Adviser Mike Waltz will head the US delegation, which also includes Trump’s Middle East envoy, Steve Witkoff. Zelensky is expected to send representatives including his Chief of Staff Andriy Yermak, and officials from the Foreign and Defence ministries. On March 10, Zelensky is scheduled to meet with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman to discuss this proposal.

On March 8, Zelensky stated Ukraine is "fully committed to constructive dialogue," expressing the hope to address realistic proposals swiftly and efficiently. This diplomacy occurs against the backdrop of intensifying conflict, with the latest figures from Ukraine estimating approximately 885,130 Russian soldiers killed or wounded since the onset of the war, alongside severe Russian aerial attacks.

On March 10, it was also reported by Zelensky and his officials, Russia has escalated its military actions significantly, launching over 2,100 aerial attacks recently, with Ukraine claiming the loss of at least 25 civilians following drone strikes on the town of Dobropillya.

Compounding the political backdrop, French Armed Forces Minister Sebastien Lecournu announced plans to utilize frozen Russian assets to fund $211 million worth of arms for Ukraine and promised the delivery of older armored fighting vehicles. Meanwhile, Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski voiced concerns about the security of Ukraine’s internet access through Starlink, which he claimed could be jeopardized if Elon Musk were to cease operations due to grievances with Kyiv’s government.

Following previous exchanges with Poland about Starlink, Rubio rebuffed Sikorski's claims of service disruption, asserting those concerns were exaggerated and reminding him of the importance of the service for Ukraine's warfare efforts.

These discussions come shortly after Trump signaled he had nearly lifted the US suspension on intelligence sharing with Ukraine. This development, originating from tensions with Zelensky, holds significant ramifications for the delicate balance of military operations against Russia.

All eyes now turn to the talks set to take place as both nations grapple with endurance amid the challenges presented by warfare transitions and military tactics. Each side will be weighing the political risks and rewards intertwined with negotiations concerning ceasefires, military support, and continued dialogue for lasting peace.

While Russian forces continue their assaults with reported new captures of Ukrainian territories, both governments are under pressure to address the growing humanitarian and strategic crisis resulting from the conflict. The coming days will likely shape how relations evolve between Ukraine and the US, and how negotiations may pave the way forward for significant resolutions based on the outcomes of the Saudi summit.

The dynamics of statement releases post-negotiation, especially those from US officials, will be pivotal as we look for signs of whether these talks can bear fruit or merely reflect the unending discord.

The approach to peace, especially as it pertains to claims of goodwill, will be extensively monitored amid allegations from both sides, forcing officials to reassess their strategies to both maintain public support and mitigate military confrontations.

The evident need for constructive dialogues rests squarely on Zelensky's shoulders as he attempts to redefine Ukraine's position on the global stage, striving for security guarantees and assisting the war-torn nation by proposing actionable solutions for peace.

Ukraine’s aspirations for autonomy, peace, and security hinge heavily on outcomes from both its discussions with key international partners and internal military readiness against Russian advances.

If successful, the Saudi talks could signal progress, but the question remains: Will both sides genuinely embrace the commitments they make?

Only time will tell if the political maneuvering will translate effectively on the battlefield.