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24 February 2025

Ukraine Eyes EU Membership Before 2030 If Reforms Continue

Ursula von der Leyen praises Ukraine's reform efforts amid anniversary of Russian invasion.

Ukraine has been making significant strides toward European Union membership, and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has stated it could join the EU before 2030 if it maintains its current reform momentum. During her visit to Kyiv on February 24, 2025, coinciding with the third anniversary of the Russian invasion, von der Leyen praised the political determination of Ukraine's leadership.

"I really appreciate the political will that's there. I would even say Ukraine's merit-based process, if they continue at this speed and at this quality, perhaps they could be earlier than 2030," von der Leyen noted during the press conference attended by various European leaders, including EU Council President Antonio Costa and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy.

The remarks come at a pivotal moment for Ukraine, as many citizens express hope for closer ties with Europe amid the challenges imposed by the continuing conflict with Russia. President Zelenskiy has underscored the necessity of EU membership as not just a goal but as integral to the nation's future stability.

Costa added weight to von der Leyen's comments by asserting, "Accession to the EU would be the most important security guarantee for the future of Ukraine." This reflects the broader consensus among European leaders about the strategic importance of integrating Ukraine more fully within European structures.

The EU has been supportive of Ukraine's aspirations since the onset of hostilities, especially with various reforms required by the EU to be met. Issues like governance, economic alliance, and rule of law remain at the forefront of the reform agenda. Ukrainian officials believe maintaining their commitment to democratic principles is key to achieving their EU membership goals.

The path to EU membership is complex and will require sustained efforts from Ukraine. It encompasses economic, political, and societal reforms aimed at aligning with European standards. Many have expressed skepticism about the timeline, emphasizing the challenges presented by existing conflicts and the ability to drive reforms amid such instability.

Nevertheless, the optimism shown by von der Leyen and Costa can serve to bolster morale among Ukrainians, encouraging them to embrace the changes needed for EU accession. These developments signify Ukraine's unwavering commitment to European integration and its readiness to overcome obstacles posed by both internal and external factors.

Looking forward, Ukrainian leaders are determined to implement the necessary reforms. This resolve is expected to be tested as they balance the urgency for reform with the realities of wartime governance. Observers believe continuous engagement and support from EU with tangible results would be necessary to maintain this momentum.

Strategies to involve EU-backed economic recovery plans will also play a significant role, with many advocating for increased investment and trade facilitation between Ukraine and EU members as part of the accession process.

Even amid the backdrop of conflict, the goal of EU membership continues to be painted as one of growth, stability, and securing peace for Ukraine. The February 24 summit not only highlighted the intent to integrate Ukraine but also called for commitment from the EU to provide unwavering support to aid the reforms.

Overall, the stated ambitions of both Ukrainian and EU leaders suggest a potential pathway toward membership sooner than previously thought. If Ukraine can maintain its reform agenda at the current pace and quality, the prospect of joining the European Union could well be on the horizon well before 2030.