The UK government is bracing for potential economic turmoil as it weighs its response to the new tariffs imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump. On April 4, 2025, ministers announced they would approach the situation with "cool and calm heads," while keeping all options open, including retaliatory tariffs on a range of American goods. An indicative list of products that could be targeted for tariffs includes bourbon whiskey, motorcycles, guitars, and jeans.
Economists have warned that the UK’s economic growth could be significantly impacted by these tariffs, potentially falling by as much as 0.5 percentage points lower than previously forecasted. Thomas Pugh, an economist at RSM UK, stated, "The direct impact on the UK is likely to be in the 0.2% to 0.5% of GDP range over the next few years combining both the impact of the 10% flat tariff and the 25% tariff on automotives." With growth projections at 1% for this year and 1.5% for the next, Pugh suggested that the UK could face another year of stagnation at best.
The global markets reacted sharply to Trump's tariff announcement, with U.S. stocks suffering steep declines. The S&P 500 plummeted about 4% to 5,440 shortly after markets opened, marking its lowest point since September. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell around 3.6%, while the Nasdaq Composite, heavily influenced by technology stocks, plunged nearly 5%. Internationally, the FTSE 100 in the UK dropped approximately 1.5% to a three-month low of 8,476, while the DAX in Germany and the CAC 40 in France also saw significant declines of 2.8% and 3.3%, respectively.
In a related development, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney announced that Canada would match the U.S. tariffs on automobiles, imposing a 25% tariff on vehicles imported from the United States. Carney emphasized that this decision was made in direct response to Trump's tariff plan, stating, "We will not put tariffs on car parts as Trump has done, because we know the benefits of the integrated auto sector." This move further escalates the trade tensions between the U.S. and its neighbors.
As the economic fallout continues, the South Korean Constitutional Court has made headlines by removing impeached President Yoon Suk Yeol from office on the same day, prompting a national election to be held within two months. This political upheaval adds another layer of uncertainty to the already volatile global market landscape.
On the automotive front, Hyundai has unveiled a refreshed version of its Ioniq 6 electric saloon at the Seoul Mobility Show. The new design features a sleeker, more aerodynamic appearance and introduces a sporty N Line model aimed at enhancing user experience and comfort. This update comes at a time when manufacturers are facing challenges due to the tariffs affecting the automotive industry.
In the U.S., the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures slid early on April 4, 2025, following the previous day’s market turmoil, which marked the biggest slide in U.S. equities in five years. Futures tied to the blue-chip index lost 128 points, or 0.31%. The S&P 500 futures fell by 0.29%, and Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 0.28%. The previous session saw the Dow and S&P 500 drop approximately 4% and 4.8%, respectively, while the Nasdaq Composite plunged nearly 6%. The S&P 500 fell back into correction territory, down more than 10% from its February all-time high.
The small-cap focused Russell 2000 index dove more than 6%, officially entering a bear market, characterized by a decline of at least 20% from its last peak. The sell-off affected major technology stocks, particularly those in the "Magnificent Seven," which collectively lost over $1 trillion in market value. With the Nasdaq Composite leading the decline, it fell 4.5% this week, while the S&P 500 and Dow Industrials dropped 3.3% and 2.5%, respectively.
Investors are now left wondering whether countries will be able to negotiate trade deals with the U.S. to mitigate the impact of these tariffs. Trump has indicated a willingness to engage in trade negotiations, a notable shift from his earlier stance. Michael Arone, chief investment strategist at State Street Global Advisors, commented, "The Trump administration may be playing a game of chicken with trading partners, but market participants aren't willing to wait around for the results. Investors are selling first and asking questions later."
As attention turns to the U.S. jobs report for March, economists expect nonfarm payrolls to rise by 140,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1%. This data could further influence market reactions amid the ongoing economic uncertainty.
In the automotive sector, Tesla faced its own challenges as Q1 2025 sales fell 13% to 336,681 vehicles, marking its weakest performance since mid-2022. The decline has been attributed to several factors, including backlash over CEO Elon Musk's political views, declining demand in China, and production disruptions from Model Y upgrades.
In the UK, Motorpoint has reported a return to profitability in 2025, forecasting a pre-tax profit of between £4 million and £4.3 million, following an £8.2 million loss in 2024. The company attributed its success to a 14% rise in retail volumes, supported by the opening of a new store in Norwich, and remains optimistic for 2026.
As the UK government navigates its response to Trump's tariffs, the economic landscape remains precarious, with potential repercussions felt across various sectors. With global markets in turmoil and heightened trade tensions, the coming weeks will be crucial in determining the trajectory of economic recovery.