Turkish-Syrian relations are witnessing pivotal changes as Syrian President Ahmed Al-Shara prepares for his visit to Turkey on February 4. This visit marks the first since the civil war ended, and analysts view it as significant for both immediate bilateral relations and long-term regional stability.
The Turkish Presidential Communications Director Fahrettin Altun expressed optimism about the newfound collaboration, stating, "We believe the rebuilding of Turkish-Syrian relations following Syria’s liberation will be strengthened by Sayın Ahmed Al-Shara and his delegation's visit." He highlighted the topics to be discussed, such as economic recovery and joint actions on security.
During his visit, Al-Shara is expected to convey commitments about the PKK presence on Syrian soil, as outlined by his recent comments about ensuring the terror group does not operate within Syrian territories. This pledge is pivotal for Turkey, which has long expressed concerns over the PKK's cross-border activities.
Meanwhile, the atmosphere domestically is charged with discussions surrounding the Turkish military's actions, particularly the discharges of army officials accused of being aligned with the republican ideals instituted by Mustafa Kemal Atatürk. Can Atalay, currently detained, shared his thoughts via social media. He declared, "This is capricious, unlawful implementation. Graduates, primarily due to their loyalty to Atatürk's legacy, were targeted with allegations of conspiracy against the state. These discharges, resulting from majority votes, signal broader issues at play within our defense establishment.”
Adding to this, retired Admiral Türker Ertürk commented, "This is also one of the maneuvers similar to the Ergenekon and Balyoz conspiracies. They are tackling their opposition by creating conditions much like past purges within the military." This sentiment has spread among various former officers who perceive these actions as politically charged and strategized to consolidate power against dissenters.
Analysis from political circles indicates this concatenation of events is part of Prime Minister Erdoğan’s broader political strategy, marked by rising tensions and attempts to establish control over various factions within society. The discussions and accusations around military discharges are seen as tactical moves to divert attention from declining support as reported by various polling outcomes.
Özgür Özel, the Republican People's Party (CHP) leader, recently pointed out these patterns, stating, "The government is trying to create a climate of fear and tension as a means to stabilize its position amid dropping electoral support." His claims are substantiated by polls indicating CHP’s growing popularity, leading to speculation over whether Erdoğan would adapt his strategies to regain favor with the citizens.
Turkey's relations with Syria appear precarious but are also filled with opportunities for dialogue, especially as they negotiate around the economic and security frameworks. The visit initially aimed at opening these discussions may also illuminate the internal fractures within Turkey's political arena.
While all eyes are on the forthcoming meeting between Al-Shara and Erdoğan, observers are equally concerned about the domestic backdrop of growing militarization against opposition groups. This raises questions about the integrity of Turkish democracy and the future of its military's role within the complicated geopolitical chessboard.
Looking forward, many wonder how these intertwined issues will influence not only the Turkish-Syrian relations but also the broader Middle Eastern political dynamics. The recent developments signal both challenges and potential pathways for Congress as leaders navigate changing circumstances following the devastating effects of Syria's prolonged conflict.