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Politics
31 January 2025

Trump Administration Faces Trade Policy Challenges Amid Global Tensions

U.S. lawmakers push for export controls on Nvidia chips as trade relations become increasingly strained

The current trade policies of the Trump administration have come under intense scrutiny as U.S. lawmakers express concerns over national security and international trade relations. A recent letter from Republican John Moolenaar and Democrat Raja Krishnamoorthi has attracted significant attention, calling for restrictions on the export of artificial intelligence (AI) chips manufactured by Nvidia, particularly in relation to the Chinese firm DeepSeek.

Lawmakers are responding to what they perceive as potential threats posed by advanced technologies falling under foreign hands. The letter, addressed to National Security Advisor Michael Waltz, urges consideration of placing export controls on Nvidia’s H20 chips due to claims they have been heavily utilized by DeepSeek, which recently unveiled a sophisticated AI model leveraging these technologies. "We ask ... you ... the potential national security benefits of placing an export control on Nvidia’s H20 and chips of similar sophistication," wrote Moolenaar and Krishnamoorthi.

Nvidia has maintained its position, asserting its compliance with all governmental requirements, expressing readiness to assist the administration with its approach to AI. The firm’s reaction reflects the broader industry concern about how U.S. trade policies might impact competitiveness and innovation.

This call for heightened scrutiny is part of President Trump's wider review of the U.S. export control system, aimed particularly at managing relations with strategic adversaries. The review seeks to assess technological dependencies and risk management associated with foreign entities accessing sensitive U.S. technologies.

Meanwhile, on the international front, trade tensions continue, especially affecting relations between Brazil and the United States. Brazilian President Luiz Ignacio Lula da Silva has openly responded to Trump's threats of increased tariffs on Brazilian goods, making it clear he would retaliate if necessary. “If he taxes Brazilian products, Brazil will reciprocate ... I want to respect the United States and for Trump to respect Brazil. That's all,” Lula remarked at a recent press conference. His comments underline Brazil's position as one of the top trading partners for the U.S. after China, emphasizing the need for constructive relations rather than conflict.

Lula's sentiments also reflect his concern over maintaining democratic principles amid rising international authoritarianism, tying the importance of democracy to global trade and communication. He remarked, "For me, democracy is the most important thing in humanity right now ... Either we keep democracy working, or we will have states more authoritarian than Hitler and fascism."

On another front, President Trump has reiterated his commitment to imposing tariffs on Canada and Mexico, with oil prices fluctuated as the market reacts to these potential changes. Trump indicated the imposition of 25% tariffs on shipments from these countries, though he hinted at possible exemptions for crude oil imports pending strategic assessments. "I will follow through on my threat to impose 25% tariffs on the two countries’ shipments," he stated, as the market braced for what could be significant shifts depending on the final decisions.

The potential impact on oil prices remains uncertain, with industry watchers noting the close integration of crude markets between the U.S. and Canada—approximately four million barrels are supplied daily. Analysts warn this could lead to reduced domestic production by about 10% should restrictions be enacted.

The energy markets have been volatile, responding to Trump's foreign policy decisions, tightening sanctions on Russia, and winter weather affecting global crude supply chains. Trump's administration has faced challenges balancing domestic energy needs with foreign policy objectives, particularly addressing rising gas prices and economic growth impacted by trade skirmishes.

These developments highlight the precarious balance the Trump administration seeks to maintain between national security concerns and international trade relationships, as American industries and foreign partners navigate this complex political and economic terrain. With various stakeholders invested—aiding technology firms, influencing substantial trading partners, and managing domestic economic pressures—the way forward remains fraught with challenges and uncertainties.