Tropical Cyclone Alfred is barreling toward the southeastern coast of Australia, posing significant threats of heavy rainfall, damaging winds, and potential flash flooding as it approaches Queensland and New South Wales this week.
Authorities have urged residents, particularly those in Brisbane, the Gold Coast, and northern New South Wales, to prepare for severe weather beginning as early as Wednesday, March 5, 2025. With predictions of up to 600 millimeters of rainfall over several days, local governments have initiated precautionary measures to safeguard communities.
According to the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM), as of 4 AM AEST on Monday, March 3, Tropical Cyclone Alfred was located approximately 465 kilometers northeast of Brisbane. The cyclone, categorized as a Category 2 storm, is expected to shift direction, heading south toward the Queensland coast, causing significant coastal hazards.
Speaking on the developing situation, Senior Meteorologist Jonathan How indicated, "We are seeing sustained winds near the centre of the cyclone of 95 kilometres per hour and wind gusts to 130 kilometres per hour." This level of wind intensity is expected to raise concerns for communities near the track of the cyclone.
The forecast has led to widespread alerts, with Brisbane City Council (BCC) advising residents about potential for damaging gusts and localized heavy rainfall. "Alfred will produce damaging or destructive wind gusts and isolated heavy rainfall, which may cause flash flooding, from late Wednesday through until the weekend," the council warned.
On Sunday, Queensland Premier David Crisafulli provided updates during a press conference, noting waves reaching up to 14 meters had already been reported off the coast due to the cyclone. "The likelihood of it crossing the coast remains really high," Crisafulli said, emphasizing the importance of preparation as residents brace themselves for the storm. The Premier also highlighted the historical precedent of severe weather conditions impacting the region, referencing the devastating floods of 1893 and 1974 caused by cyclonic systems.
Forecasts for the week predict scattered showers for Monday and Tuesday, with significant rainfall and wind expected to intensify by Wednesday. The BOM expects destructive wind gusts starting Wednesday afternoon, with conditions worsening through Thursday, mirroring the regional impacts observed during past cyclones.
Local residents are advised to secure outdoor items, clear gutters, and prepare emergency kits as the storm approaches. Brisbane's Mayor and the Premier both emphasized the necessity for community vigilance and early preparation. "Use this time to prepare yourself, prepare your home," Acting Police Commissioner Shane Chelepy reiterated. "Simple actions can save lives and property."
The cyclone's path is expected to create hazardous conditions along the southern Queensland coastline. Marine Rescue Queensland has already mobilized multiple teams to assist vulnerable communities, urging local boaters to secure vessels and stay ashore. Chief Officer Tony Wulff stated, "We urge any vulnerable people living in coastal or island communities or on vessels to [consider their location and move early]."
Additional emergency measures include the suspension of shipping operations off Mooloolaba, and reports indicate local ferry services will continue until weather conditions worsen. Premier Crisafulli mentioned, "Retailers are being urged to restock supplies multiple times a day to meet demand as residents prepare for the storm."
With its potential for widespread flooding and significant wind damage, Tropical Cyclone Alfred is expected to affect not just infrastructure but also communities’ safety and public services, particularly at risk from inundation. Flooding remains the most dangerous consequence of such storms, leading to fatalities as motorists often ignore road closure signs, particularly underestimations of the force of floodwaters.
Dr. Andrew Tupper, a consultant meteorologist, echoed the urgency for residents to stay informed and heed warnings from the BOM and emergency services. Research indicates increased risks associated with tropical cyclones, particularly as climate change impacts intensify the severity and frequency of such weather events.
While residents prepare for severe weather, the BOM continues to monitor the cyclone's path using advanced radar and satellite technology, providing real-time updates and detailed forecasts. This data is actively used to predict the cyclone's potential impact as it nears the coast.
Residents should continue to follow updates from local authorities and the BOM as anticipated heavy rainfall and storm surges pose immediate threats to life and property. The community has shown resilience during past weather events, and as Tropical Cyclone Alfred approaches, preparedness is expected to play a pivotal role.
To stay informed, residents are encouraged to check local media channels, emergency services social media platforms, and the BOM website for the latest information on Tropical Cyclone Alfred's progression and safety recommendations.