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31 January 2025

Tesla Misses Estimates While Aasbury Reports Record Earnings

Diverging fortunes reflect contrasting strategies in the automotive industry amid mixed stock market reactions.

Tesla and Aasbury Automotive recently released their fourth-quarter earnings results, and reactions from the stock market show stark contrasts between the two companies. While Tesla's performance fell short of Wall Street expectations, Aasbury Automotive posted record results, propelling its stock higher.

Tesla’s shares rose about 4% to approximately $405 after hours on January 30, 2025, fueled by optimism over the automaker’s self-driving technology, which CEO Elon Musk discussed during the earnings conference call. He highlighted significant advancements and revealed plans for deploying the unsupervised version of the self-driving software at the Austin factory starting this June, with broader public release anticipated shortly thereafter.

Despite the positive outlook on self-driving capabilities, the company’s earnings report revealed missed targets, reporting earnings of 73 cents per share, which was lower than the anticipated 76 cents. Tesla cited lower average selling prices for its vehicles as the primary reason for this decline, which led to a significant 71% drop in net income.

Nevertheless, one notable highlight was the substantial increase linked to Tesla's bitcoin holdings, which saw the carrying value rise from $184 million at the end of Q3 to $1.08 billion. This impressive boost of $896 million was attributed to new accounting standards mandated by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) requiring companies to report digital assets at market value. This resulted in what Vaibhav Taneja, Tesla's Chief of Finance, described as, "a $600 million mark-to-market benefit from bitcoin due to the adoption of a new accounting standard for digital assets."

Tesla’s increased valuation from bitcoin still left analysts cautious. Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan maintained his “underweight” rating, warning of potential downsides for the stock price, forecasting it could drop to $125. Langan noted, "We see moderatiing delivery growth driven by lower demand and diminished return on price cuts," articulately expressing concerns over profitability and future price cuts.

On the flip side, Aasbury Automotive's fourth-quarter performance painted a much brighter picture. The automotive retailer reported record revenue of $4.5 billion, exceeding estimates and reflecting an 18% increase year-over-year. Adjusted earnings per share of $7.26 surpassed the consensus estimate of $6.04, demonstrating strong resilience even amid declining gross margins.

The company’s Parts & Service division proved to be particularly profitable, generating record gross profit of $340 million, highlighted by consistent same-store revenue growth. Shipments from operations efficiency and strategic investments helped Aasbury offset margin pressures, positioning it quite favorably even as the broader automotive sector faces challenges.

Investors responded positively, with Aasbury’s stock rising approximately 11.1% to $304.70 by the time of this report. Analysts appraised the company’s continued growth prospects for the upcoming year, even as it forecasted net income to decrease from $603 million to $430 million for 2024.

The divergence in earnings reports from Tesla and Aasbury showcases distinct narratives within the automotive market. Tesla, with its ambitious technological aspirations, faces hurdles stemming from its pricing strategies and earnings volatility—factors exacerbated by market fluctuations and consumer retail demand. Meanwhile, Aasbury’s focus on operational efficiency and service profitability demonstrates how adaptability remains key within turbulent times.

Overall, the contrasting reactions of the stock market to these earnings reports depict the current state of investor sentiment toward the automotive sector and highlight the challenges lying ahead as these companies navigate their respective paths.