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29 September 2024

Taiwan Semiconductor Remains Key Player Amid Market Trends

Strong revenue growth and attractive pricing solidify TSMC's investment appeal

The semiconductor industry has been grabbing headlines lately for all the right reasons, and one standout player is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC). Over the past five years, TSMC has proven itself to be nothing short of remarkable, with total returns soaring by around 350%. This impressive performance has easily eclipsed major market indices like the NASDAQ 100 and the S&P 500, which climbed 170% and 110%, respectively. Investors are eager to know what makes TSMC such a compelling investment, especially as it continues to position itself at the forefront of the technology sector.

While TSMC has been incredible over the last five years, experts believe it’s poised to maintain its upward trend for another five years. A very strong buy recommendation has emerged, underpinned by three key reasons driving its attractive investment case.

1. Strong Revenue Growth

One of the major catalysts for TSMC's continued success is its anticipated revenue growth. Over the next five years, the company expects to see strong and steady financial performance. Specifically, the demand for AI components is expected to skyrocket, with management forecasting AI-related chips to achieve a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 50% through 2028. This means AI technologies will account for approximately 10-15% of TSMC’s overall revenue by then.

The technology behind TSMC's chip designs is constantly advancing; with their cutting-edge 2-nanometer (nm) chips, the company is set to outperform its previous generations. These chips promise between 25% to 30% efficiency improvements when compared to the existing 3nm chips, and this efficiency is particularly appealing to data centers where energy costs are high. TSMC has already seen significant demand, with many orders surpassing its initial estimates for chips from its earlier generation.

Thanks to these advancements, TSMC expects to grow its overall revenue at CAGRs ranging from 15% to 20% over the coming years—a rate sure to outpace broader market growth.

2. Attractive Stock Price

A fundamental advantage of investing in TSMC’s stock is its current pricing. Despite its stellar projections, TSMC's stock price is quite reasonable when measured using the trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. Currently, the stock trades at around 27.6 times its expected forward earnings, which is not drastically unattractive. For comparison, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 are trading at 23 and 29.2 times forward earnings, respectively. This positioning suggests investors are not overpaying considerably to gain exposure to TSMC’s impressive growth potential.

It is firmly understood among financial experts and analysts, though it may have been more favorable to buy TSMC shares at the beginning of 2023, today’s pricing still allows for solid investment potential. Particularly when considering the overall strength of the market, TSMC remains relatively well-positioned, easing concerns for those worried about overvaluation.

3. TSMC Has a Growing Dividend

Though not heavily emphasized, TSMC also offers dividend returns, providing added appeal to investors. While it may not boast the most significant dividends compared to some peers, the company's policy aims at maintaining and steadily increasing its cash dividends annually. Their dividend policy emphasizes consistent payouts and aims to grow dividends each year or quarter—not allowing them to drop below the previous year's levels.

Current yields hover around 1.4%, which, when paired with regular increases, can make TSMC's dividends appealing. Many investors overlook TSMC simply due to the comparative lack of focus on dividends, yet this consistent growth should be part of any investor's analysis, adding considerable value to the investment thesis.

With TSMC projected to experience remarkable growth over the next five years, all indications suggest it can be purchased at a fair price, and the company’s growing dividend makes it even more attractive. It stands as one of the more sensible and promising choices for investors. Overall, experts affirm TSMC has what it takes to outperform expectations and remain one of the most compelling picks within the semiconductor industry.

Should You Invest $1,000 in TSMC Right Now?

Before jumping on TSMC stock, it’s wise to weigh all options. An analyst team from The Motley Fool Stock Advisor recently highlighted what they believe are the top ten stocks for investors currently and TSMC didn’t make the cut. These selections combine to form potential high-growth avenues worth considering.

Investing principles suggest careful evaluation and diversification. Expert recommendations underline the fact investing without full knowledge can lead to suboptimal investment choices. Historical examples, such as the giant returns made from early investments with companies like NVIDIA, show how right picks can yield great gains, yet highlight how risk factors can take their toll if not approached correctly.

While TSMC shows potential for growth and reasonable pricing, it’s not the only semiconductor stock on the market. Investors should take time to evaluate various stocks and weigh TSMC's prospects carefully against others before deciding where to allocate their resources. The road to successful investing involves evaluating risks and opportunities, finding the right balance for each individual situation.

Investing can be complex and uncertain, but Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company offers compelling reasons for its classification as one of the leaders within the semiconductor sector. With strong revenue growth prospects, reasonable pricing, and consistent dividends, savvy investors will find plenty to admire about this industry titan. Keeping track of broader market trends and TSMC's place within it may pave the way for favorable outcomes for years to come.

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