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Science
21 March 2025

Study Reveals Decline In Forest Productivity Stability With Age

Researchers emphasize the need to preserve biodiversity in old-growth forests to maintain ecosystem services and resilience amid climate change.

New research reveals troubling trends in the stability of forest productivity across the eastern United States, indicating that older forests may be more susceptible to declines in productivity stability. The study, which analyzed extensive forest inventory data, underscores how key ecological factors shift as forests age, notably during the canopy transition stage.

Scientists have identified that the temporal stability of aboveground productivity—essentially, the forest's ability to maintain its output over time—decreases as forest stands age. This decline occurs at both the local and metacommunity scales, suggesting a worrying trend for forests that play vital roles in carbon storage and ecosystem services.

The research found consistent declines in local biodiversity, which contributed to less synchronous productivity dynamics among species. As various tree species vie for resources, older forests display weaknesses in local stability, primarily driven by increased mortality rates and the transition from conservatively growing species to those with more aggressive growth strategies.

“Decreasing local diversity leads to lower temporal stability,” noted the authors, indicating that as species composition shifts in older forests, the resilience of these ecosystems diminishes. The study discovered that older forests exhibited not only reduced local stability but also a significant drop in metacommunity stability, which encompasses productivity dynamics across multiple local communities.

The analysis utilized data from the national forest survey dataset, where each surveyed area or plot comprises four circular subplots. This comprehensive approach allowed the researchers to consider diverse ecological interactions and productivity patterns at different spatial scales.

As expected, local stability weakened with age, as featured by statistical models showing a decline in both species stability and species asynchrony with increasing stand age. Specifically, as the forests transitioned into older stands, shifts in functional diversity became pronounced—as functional diversity decreased, functional dissimilarity among neighboring communities increased, reflecting more varied productivity dynamics.

The authors emphasized the implications of their findings, stating, "Our results show that decreasing local stability following diversity loss will extend to the metacommunity and landscape scales, highlighting the need to restore biodiversity across multiple spatial dimensions to maintain ecosystem stability." This assertion calls attention to the intertwined fates of forest health and biodiversity.

Interestingly, the research highlighted that while progression into older forest stages typically yields richer biodiversity at mid-successional phases, this pattern reverses in old-growth forests as shade-tolerant species increasingly dominate. This dominance limits the recruitment of fast-growing, light-demanding species, leading to a decline in overall biodiversity and productivity stability.

The report’s findings reflect a critical call to action for preserving old-growth forests, which are essential for supporting a plethora of services including carbon storage, water regulation, and wildlife habitat. These ecosystems are facing heightened threats from climate change, underscoring the need for targeted conservation efforts.

“We urge proactive measures not just for conserving old-growth forests but also for managing temperate forests to safeguard their functionality and resilience,” the authors concluded.

The implications of these research results extend far beyond academic circles, affecting policies relating to forest management, conservation, and climate change mitigation efforts. In a world where climate extremes are intensifying, understanding the dynamics of forest productivity and species interactions is paramount to safeguarding the ecosystems that underpin life on Earth.