On December 26, 2024, Southampton will host West Ham United at St. Mary's Stadium as part of the English Premier League's 18th round. This match is pivotal for both clubs, albeit for very different reasons.
Southampton, currently languishing at the bottom of the Premier League with only six points to show from their efforts this season, will be under the guidance of new manager Ivan Juric for the first time. After parting ways with Russell Martin following another disappointing start, the Saints hope Juric can inspire them and turn their fortunes around.
Last weekend, Southampton managed to stop their run of defeats by drawing 0-0 against Fulham, but their form remains poor. With one victory from 17 matches and recent losses to heavyweights like Chelsea and Tottenham, they have only scored 11 goals throughout the campaign, conceding 36, showcasing their struggles on both ends of the pitch.
Meanwhile, West Ham United, sitting 14th with 20 points, has shown slight improvement recently after enduring their own rough patch at the start of the season. Under the leadership of Julen Lopetegui, the Hammers have not lost any of their last three matches, managing to squeeze out two draws against Bournemouth and Brighton, and secured a victory against Wolverhampton. This slight resurgence contrasts starkly with Southampton's dismal run.
The teams have met previously during the 2022-23 Premier League season. Their first encounter ended 1-1 at St. Mary's, and later, West Ham edged Southampton 1-0 at home. Historical data suggests West Ham has had the upper hand, often finishing with favorable outcomes against the Saints.
When analyzing the betting trends, statistically, there have been fewer than 4.5 yellow cards shown in eight of the last ten encounters between the two teams, indicating competitive yet disciplined play. West Ham's defensive solidity might play a significant role, especially considering Southampton's attacking woes, highlighted by their constant inability to score more than one goal per match.
Betting analysts view West Ham as the clear favorite for the upcoming match, with odds set at 2.17 for a victory, compared to 3.20 for Southampton. Bet for there being over 2.5 goals stands at 1.65, reflecting expectations for a potentially lively contest.
Several players will be missing for Southampton, including goalkeeper Gavin Bazunu, Ross Stewart, and Will Smallbone due to injuries. West Ham's main concern is the absence of Michael Antonio, who is recovering from surgery.
Given the current forms of both teams, it is likely the encounter will be tactical, with West Ham likely opting for counterattacks, utilizing their pacey wingers like Jarrod Bowen and Lucas Paquetá. Southampton, on the other hand, will depend heavily on home support to lift their spirits as they aim for any points to begin climbing the table.
Analysts predict goals may come from both sides; Southampton's home form shows they might score but equally struggle defensively, hinting at potential goal opportunities for West Ham.
Overall predictions suggest West Ham may clinch at least one point, making them strong contenders to win the match. The ideal bets include 'West Ham to win or draw' and 'over 2.5 goals' with expected high intensity throughout the match, leading to possible defensive mistakes or set pieces earning goals.
With anticipation building around this match, both teams know the stakes are high, making it not just another game but rather one of survival for Southampton and mid-table security for West Ham.
