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18 March 2025

South Korea Faces Trade Turbulence Under Trump Presidency

Strained economic ties and political unrest present pressing challenges for the nation.

The political and economic climate surrounding South Korea is increasingly turbulent as it grapples with the aggressive trade policies of President Donald Trump’s administration. With significant tariffs imposed and upcoming diplomatic engagements looming, South Korea must navigate these challenges carefully to maintain its position on the global stage.

On March 12, 2025, President Trump announced the imposition of 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, which, according to South Korean officials, undermines their exports. For South Korea, where automobiles and semiconductors made up 27% of exports to the U.S. last year, these tariffs represent not just financial burdens but also potential long-term economic repercussions.

Further complicuting the situation were Trump's claims made during his speech on March 14, where he suggested, "Korea's average tariffs are four times higher than ours," indirectly igniting concerns about trade negotiations under the existing Free Trade Agreement (FTA). South Korean officials quickly dismissed this assertion, arguing it misrepresents the realities of current trade practices.

Adding to the uncertainty, reports surfaced about the U.S. Energy Department considering the inclusion of South Korea on the 'Sensitive Countries List' at the start of 2025—underlining significant economic scrutiny directed at the nation. Trade Representative Marco Rubio hinted on March 16 at the potential for renegotiations of existing trade deals aimed at addressing the growing disparities.

While South Korea has attempted to strengthen ties through diplomatic meetings—most recently represented by Foreign Minister Jo Tae-yeol's visits to Germany and France—the looming APEC leaders' summit anticipated for late October injects urgency. They are preparing to engage with influential global leaders such as Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. This may be seen as both opportunity and challenge, raising expectations of unified approaches to economic issues.

Simultaneously, Trump's recent appointments signal shifts within the United States' financial oversight. On March 17, Trump designated Michele Bowman as Vice Chair of Financial Supervision at the Federal Reserve. He commented, "Over the past four years, our economy has been mismanaged, and now it is time for change," stating confidence in Bowman's abilities to facilitate this shift. If confirmed, Bowman will herald ground-breaking changes as the first woman to hold this position, specializing as one of the Fed’s hawkish voices advocating for deregulation.

Bowman has experience as she was previously appointed as Governor of the Federal Reserve by Trump back in 2018. During this announcement, Trump noted, "Michele has served honorably at the Fed since 2018, and she possesses knowledge about inflation, regulation, and banking operations." Her expertise will likely impact monetary policy significantly, which is of great concern to South Korea, especially considering its tight trade relationship with the U.S.

Alongside the Federal Reserve developments, Trump has also named Brian Bedford, CEO of Reliable Robotics, as the new FAA administrator. Describing Bedford, Trump stated, "Brian will strongly reform the FAA and protect our exports," reinforcing the administration's emphasis on uplifting the aviation sector which is another pillar of the U.S. economy affected by trade dynamics.

These appointments and policy shifts emerge against the backdrop of the political strife within South Korea, where uncertainty reigns. Rumors circulate about forthcoming events, including the Constitutional Court's impending decision on the impeachment of President Yoon, which may lead to heightened divides within the country regardless of the outcome. Any developments, whether positive or negative, are expected to intensify the political friction already apparent.

Critically, those evaluating the current political framework, both within South Korea and internationally, recognize the urgent need for concerted unity. Just as political scientists have pointed out, aligning various collective interests will be pivotal to safeguard democratic ideals against the pressures of extreme partisanship. "To defend democracy from figures like Trump, it is imperative for those opposing radical viewpoints to unite," scholars assert, signaling the necessity of cohesive action.

Until the domestic and international uncertainties are resolved, South Korea faces precarious challenges both economically and politically, with individuals articulately aware of the impending costs of grappling with such instability. Observers note how each passing day amplifies the existing strains, raising the stakes for the nation. This reflection fosters recognition of the pressing need for decisive action from all stakeholders involved.

It is clear, then, as South Korea stands at this significant crossroads, engaging with both its allies and adversaries, the path forward must be navigated with caution and strategy. With the APEC summit just on the horizon, maintaining open dialogue and strengthening collaborative efforts could prove beneficial, and perhaps, necessary for ensuring future stability.