Brazil is grappling with severe weather disruptions as intense rains and flooding coincide with the vibrant Carnival celebrations, which occur from February 27 to March 1. A climatic phenomenon known as the atmospheric river is sweeping through southern Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay, bringing significant moisture to the region. Weather forecasts indicate potential for extreme localized rainfall, predominantly impacting states like Mato Grosso do Sul, Rio Grande do Sul, and Santa Catarina.
According to Meteored, meteorological models predict the corridor of moisture affecting not just Brazil but also Paraguay and much of Argentina. With potential for flooding, river overflow, and landslides, the anticipation of such extreme weather has officials on high alert. Specific areas, particularly the southern states, are at increased risk of violent storms characterized by heavy downpours, hail, and strong winds.
On Friday, February 28, these weather patterns are expected to peak, especially during the afternoon and evening when the daytime heat exacerbates the storms. While southern Brazil will bear the brunt of the rainfall, regions such as the Central-West are also forecasted to experience significant rainfall through March 2.
The National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) has issued multiple alerts outlining the potential dangers, including what has been categorized as ‘red alerts’ for areas likely to see rainfall exceeding 60 mm/h or daily totals surpassing 100 mm. Such conditions could result in considerable infrastructure damage, electric outages, uprooted trees, and treacherous travel conditions.
Additional warnings fall under orange and yellow categories, highlighting risks of 30 to 60 mm of rainfall per day, with wind speeds reaching between 60 and 100 km/h. These severe weather patterns are likely to complicate the public's participation in Carnival festivities, traditionally marked by parades, street parties, and vibrant displays.
Specifically, Salvador has encountered significant disruptions. Intense rains since the previous afternoon have resulted in flooded streets and inconvenience. Images sent to media outlets from affected neighborhoods depict severe flooding, particularly on Rua Nilo Peçanha, where both vehicle and foot traffic face challenges. The local Civil Defense has advised residents to remain cautious, as intermittent showers are expected throughout Carnival, alongside fluctuated temperatures ranging between 24°C and 34°C.
Outside of Salvador, the weather forecast for various Brazilian capitals on February 28 indicates varying levels of rainfall and sunshine:
- Northern Brazil
Rio Branco: Partly cloudy with temperatures between 22°C and 31°C.
Manaus: Variable cloudiness with highs reaching 32°C and lows down to 25°C. - Nordeste
Salvador: Quick showers expected, temperatures between 26°C and 31°C.
Fortaleza: Periods of rain could see highs of 30°C and lows of 24°C. - Centro-Oeste
Brasília: Predominantly sunny, highs of 29°C. - Southeast
São Paulo: Thunderstorms could bring temperatures up to 32°C. - Southern Brazil
Florianópolis: Expecting partly sunny conditions yet potentially cloudy afternoons.
With the risk of waterlogged roads and adverse weather conditions, many revelers have expressed concerns over the safety and enjoyment of Carnival events. Still, some organizers assure participants there will be contingency plans to handle potential disruptions.
Officials suggest monitoring weather updates closely, particularly as heavy downpours have been predicted to persist through the weekend leading up to the Carnival's conclusion. The urban population is particularly encouraged to heed the alerts, as the heavy rainfall spells peril for many vulnerable parts of the city.
Emergency services are prepared for possible evacuation orders and have ramped up their readiness to respond to incidents stemming from the severe weather. Meanwhile, the public safety agencies continue to remind citizens to take preventive measures, such as avoiding flooded areas and preparing for electricity outages.
The Brazilian government has also mobilized resources to assist those significantly impacted by the flooding, aiming to establish shelters and provide aid to those displaced. With Carnival being synonymous with joy and festivity, the mood is cautiously optimistic as communities brace for both celebrations and the challenges posed by Mother Nature.
Despite the weather challenges, Carnival remains a time of year when Brazilians showcase resilience, community spirit, and cultural pride. The streets are expected to fill with rhythm and dance, even as citizens remain vigilant against the impending storms. The contrasting imagery of bright costumes amid darker skies reflects the dual nature of this year's Carnival—celebration intertwined with caution as Brazil navigates the unpredictable forces of nature.