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31 January 2025

Rwanda-South Africa Tensions Rise Amid DRC Conflict

Deterioration leads to accusations and potential military confrontation between nations over M23 rebel support.

Escalation of tensions between Rwanda and South Africa has become alarmingly evident amid the intensifying conflict in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) where the M23 rebel group is making significant advances. This latest crisis marks not only increased hostility between these two nations but highlights the complex and often bloody history of the region.

The war of words began when South African President Cyril Ramaphosa publicly accused Rwanda of backing the M23 rebels following the deaths of 13 South African peacekeepers during recent clashes. Ramaphosa’s commentary sent shockwaves through diplomatic circles, as the specter of military confrontation loomed larger. He condemned the actions of M23 and the Rwandan Defence Force (RDF), asserting their responsibility for the casualties sustained by South African forces. "M23, and what he called ‘a Rwandan Defense Force militia,’ were responsible for the casualties," Ramaphosa stated, reflecting his administration’s frustrations with the deteriorative peace efforts.

Rwandan President Paul Kagame quickly retorted to these accusations, declaring them to be unfounded and purely propaganda. "The Rwandan Defense Force was not a militia and if South Africa prefers confrontation, Rwanda will deal with the matter in this way any day," he asserted, emphasizing the legitimacy of his country's military. Kagame went on to dismiss South Africa’s credibility as a peacemaker, labeling the South African military presence not as peacekeeping but rather offensive combat operations.

The remarks from both leaders encapsulate the deep-running distrust and historical grievances tied to the over three-decade-long instability afflicting the DRC. The roots of this conflict can often be traced back to the 1994 Rwandan genocide, when Hutu extremists slaughtered Tutsis and moderate Hutus, forcing many perpetrators across the border to form insurgent groups and seek refuge. Rwanda accuses these groups of perpetuating violence against its Tutsi population within the DRC, complicity with the Congolese government present at this severe standing.

Meanwhile, the humanitarian impact of the M23’s resurgence and purported backing by Rwanda has been devastating for civilians. Goma, the epicenter of conflict, has seen hundreds of thousands displaced, with the World Food Programme (WFP) reporting catastrophic access to food, electricity, and medical supplies. "If you're a mother in Goma today, it's hell. No water, no food, no electricity, and they are scared, and they are traumatized," stated Cynthia Jones, the WFP's deputy director, summing up the dire situation.

A recent escalation saw the M23 rebels create havoc, overtaking Goma and threatening to reach the capital city, Kinshasa, which only heightens the tensions. Following this, Congolese President Félix Tshisekedi has rallied military support, outright rejecting calls for dialogue with the rebels, insisting on complete military mobilization. His defensive stance, echoed by the defense minister, suggests determination to confront the rebellion, once again signaling to the international community the fragility of peace efforts.

The situation now presents South Africa with the dual challenge of maintaining its commitment to peacekeeping missions, whilst addressing internal pressures following the deaths of its soldiers. "We request all the forces supporting M23 to cease all support immediately," demanded South African Foreign Minister Ronald Lamola, capturing the urgency of the moment faced by the government.

Engagement with the international community becomes imperative as regional tensions threaten to spill over beyond rhetoric. The United Nations and African Union must step up mediation efforts to prevent the conflict from spiraling. Historic calls for ceasefire and dialogue have been met with skepticism amid rising hostilities and demands for military solutions by both involved parties.

Despite all the turmoil, voices urging for calm and peaceful negotiations have emerged to balance the rhetoric. The special relation between Rwanda and South Africa teeters on the brink of potential military confrontation, if words continue to escalate uncontrollably.

At this juncture, the sentiments are clear: the people of Goma, and more broadly the DRC, deserve peace and stability, yet the path toward this seems fraught with complications. The motives of each country, intertwined with historical enmities and strategic interests, create challenges for achieving meaningful discussion and resolution. Will diplomacy succeed where threats linger? The stakes have never been higher for the millions caught between these two nations’ political gambits.