Russian forces scored a significant victory on January 26, 2025, with the capture of Velyka Novosilka, the last well-fortified stronghold on the southern front of the Donetsk region. This military achievement marks a considerable step forward for Russian troops, disrupting Ukrainian defensive capabilities and supply lines.
The operation was spearheaded by the 5th Guards Separate Tank Brigade of the 36th Army and the 40th Guards Marine Brigade, both part of the Eastern Military District. Their coordinated action began on January 20, culminating with the settlement falling under Russian control merely six days later.
Geographically, Velyka Novosilka holds strategic importance, located near the borders of the Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk regions. Before the escalation of hostilities, the settlement was home to around 6,000 residents. By the end of 2024, the population dwindled to just 5%, as many locals evacuated amid the prolonged conflict.
According to the Ministry of Defense of Russia, the operation to secure the settlement involved intensive offensive maneuvers. On the day of the capture, the ministry stated, “On January 26, 2025, the Velyka Novosilka settlement was liberated by the troops of the 5th Guards Separate Tank Brigade of the 36th Army and the 40th Guards Marine Brigade of the Eastern Grouping.” This announcement underscored the military’s success and strategic maneuvers.
The dynamic situation unfolded as Ukrainian forces were reported to be facing disarray. Igor Kimakovsky, Advisor to the Head of the Donetsk People's Republic (DPR), articulated the challenges faced by Ukrainian troops: “The defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces was only local and concentrated to the north of the settlement.” This indication of fractured defense could have significant consequences for Ukrainian tactical positioning.
Military expert Boris Rozhin characterizes the capture of Velyka Novosilka as “another significant operational achievement for Russian forces.” This statement not only commends the tactical victory but also hints at the strategic dividends it may yield, potentially facilitating advancements toward other regions.
During this intense conflict, Ukrainian forces reportedly suffered heavy losses, with estimates indicating more than 1,400 casualties along with significant equipment losses. Reports noted the destruction of three U.S.-made HIMARS rocket systems and 68 aerial drones. These losses reflect the broader challenges faced by the Ukrainian military as they endeavor to maintain defensive operations under increasing pressure.
The capture of Velyka Novosilka isn't merely about territorial gains; it's fundamentally reshaping the operational fabric of the conflict. Located at a logistical crossroads, this settlement served as both a command and supply point for Ukrainian forces. With its fall, Russian forces are now positioned to challenge the remaining Ukrainian defenses and perhaps expand their territorial claims.
Attention now turns to the ramifications of this recent victory. Military analysts speculate it could enable Russian forces to advance toward strategic locations, potentially moving westward to threaten areas currently under Ukrainian control. Discussions among military strategists highlight concerns over the vulnerabilities of other defensive lines as resources become strained.
While the situation remains fluid, the dynamics of control over Velyka Novosilka suggest shifting tides within the conflict. The geographical significance, coupled with the operational outcomes of this battle, emphasizes the contest for dominance within the region.
This operational victory for Russian forces propels them forward, but it equally raises questions about the resilience and adaptability of Ukrainian defenses. The coming days may reveal whether this capture leads to significant strategic shifts or if Ukraine can regroup and strengthen its resistance against the advancing Russian military.