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20 March 2025

Russia Eyes Large-Scale Privatization Amid Economic Challenges

Finance Minister outlines plans to enhance revenues from state assets while experts raise concerns.

Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov recently reignited discussions about a "large-scale privatization" plan, aiming to involve state-owned companies in achieving national objectives. Speaking at an expanded meeting of the Rosimushchestvo collegium, Siluanov emphasized the need to activate proposals for the sale of state assets, aiming for the treasury to benefit significantly in the coming years.

Last year, various legislative acts were implemented to expose inefficient property usage, laying a foundation for the proposed privatization initiatives. Siluanov expressed that in 2025, revenues from the sale of state properties should reach at least 100 billion rubles, indicating a push for state-funded privatization amidst economic challenges.

While the ministry plans to sell seven companies, the identities of these companies have not yet been disclosed. It's essential to note that this isn't a new concept; plans for privatization discussions have circulated for years. In 2023, the government aimed to privatize stakes in 30 different companies, a goal which ultimately failed to materialize. Only shares in Rosspirtprom were sold at an auction for 8.3 billion rubles.

According to Deputy Finance Minister Alexei Moiseev, the number of candidates for privatization has been narrowed down due to their financial viability. The ministry anticipates budget revenues from these potential sales to range from 100 to 300 billion rubles, depending on the assets selected and prevailing market conditions.

Experts have weighed in on the potential benefits of this privatization agenda. They argue that the state could not only generate substantial income from asset sales but also invigorate the stock market by introducing new securities. However, there's a caveat: if demand fails to materialize, the budget could incur losses.

Nikolai Arefev, a leading parliamentarian, criticized the ministry's intentions, suggesting that the ongoing push for privatization aims to transfer valuable resources from state control into the hands of oligarchs. He asserted that previous privatization efforts in the 1990s led to detrimental consequences for the nation, weakening its industrial capabilities.

The economic ramifications are substantial; as Arefev noted, privatizing strategic assets such as those in the oil and gas sectors would likely continue to enrich a small number of individuals at the expense of broader national interests. The implications of the government's moves toward privatization have been echoed in commentary by Dmitry Novikov, who described the initiative as an attack on the working class and expressed skepticism regarding the sincerity of the government's intentions.

Additionally, Novikov highlighted historical trends where privatization processes have often resulted in the involvement of foreign capital and dubious financial practices. Such issues have raised red flags regarding national security and the authenticity of pursuing privatization at a time when international relations are tentative.

President Vladimir Putin also weighed in, stating that issues surrounding privatization must continue to be debated until they reach definitive resolutions. At a recent RSPP congress, he emphasized the importance of maintaining a stable economic environment that remains hospitable for business investments.

Experts like economist Sergei Khestanov have stressed that the reliability of property rights is fundamental for business confidence. He stated that doubts cast on the strength of ownership would influence economic engagement, warning that a lack of trust could inhibit future investments. Given this precarious backdrop, stakeholders are observing how the government will navigate these discussions in the coming months.

While the Finance Ministry is eager to demonstrate that it can sustainably manage privatized assets, the economic climate suggests that private capital could be more efficient. However, with vast sums of money sitting in bank deposits rather than flowing into investments, experts remain cautious about the timing and effectiveness of any substantial privatization strategies.

In the midst of these developments, analysts are left debating: will the government indeed follow through on its privatization goals? With only a handful of successful transactions recorded in the previous year, moving forward with these ambitious plans will require careful calculations and an understanding of both market dynamics and public sentiment.

As the narrative unfolds, the implications of large-scale privatization will demand attention. The stakes are high, with potential risks of repeating past mistakes looming over the current administration. Stakeholders are keen to see how these plans align with the broader economic policies of the state and whether they will prioritize citizen welfare over private interests.

As 2025 approaches, the conversation surrounding Russia's economic direction will undoubtedly continue to evolve, necessitating transparency and public engagement. Whether the government can balance privatization efforts with national interests remains to be seen, making this a critical juncture for Russian economic policy.