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23 December 2024

Russia Advances Offensive, Gains Ground In Eastern Ukraine

North Korean military support and increased tensions mark significant developments as the conflict escalates.

Russia's military offensive continues to intensify as reports emerge of significant territorial gains made by its forces in Eastern Ukraine. According to the Associated Press, Russian troops have managed to seize control over two villages in the Donetsk and Kharkiv regions, as they push forward with the offensive targeting the strategic cities of Pokrovske and Kurakhove.

On December 23, the Russian Defense Ministry announced its troops had taken the village of Lozova, located north of Donetsk, alongside another village not far from Kurakhove. This announcement came as Ukrainian forces confirmed heavy fighting near these key locations, with battles reported to be fiercely contested. The situation remains fluid, as Ukrainian sources have not definitively confirmed the occupation of these villages, but independent military reports indicate significant advancement by Russian forces.

The regional governor appointed by Russia, Denis Pushilin, claimed through social media channel Telegram, "Russian troops have taken control of the central district of Kurakhove and are advancing toward Pokrovske as well." He suggested this rapid advance reflects the tense and volatile nature of the conflict.

This latest offensive marks the continuing trend of Russian troops pushing eastward. Over the last two months, the situation has escalated, with Ukrainian forces reportedly withdrawing from some villages to avoid being encircled. This has been described as part of Russia's broader strategy to regain control over important supply and transport routes through Eastern Ukraine.

Beyond the immediate military actions, the involvement of foreign troops has added layers of complexity to the conflict. Recent intelligence provided by South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff revealed North Korea is preparing to send additional troops and military equipment to support Russia. This includes suicide drones, which North Korea has been developing under the leadership of Kim Jong-un. The intensity of this new phase of the conflict raises questions about the effectiveness of combined forces as North Korea's motivations for assisting Russia appear to stem from their own strategic goals and desires for war experience.

Reports suggest North Korean troops have already been deployed, with estimates of their numbers ranging from 11,000 to as high as 15,000, and there is speculation these numbers could increase. South Korean intelligence indicates Russian payment to North Korean soldiers could reach around $2,000 per month. This financial aspect draws interest, as many believe the profits might not reach the soldiers themselves but would instead benefit North Korea's ruling elite.

Bruce W. Bennett, a defense researcher and North Korea expert at RAND, expressed skepticism about the financial arrangements, stating, "There are numerous past instances where the North Korean government seizes foreign earnings of its citizens. The likelihood is high these soldiers will receive little to no compensation for their efforts on the ground." Such sentiments highlight the dire state of North Korean soldiers who join combat operations without expectation of fair remuneration.

Compounding the situation, Ukraine has reported increasingly aggressive engagements from the Russian military, including drone strikes targeted at civilian areas, raising the stakes for international intervention and response. The continuous barrage of artillery has left cities like Kremenchuk under shaking stress and strain, prompting local officials to call for immediate humanitarian assistance.

While President Vladimir Putin has publicly vowed to dismantle the Ukrainian resistance, regional leaders and international analysts remain concerned about the long-term implications of Russia's cross-border military partnerships, particularly with North Korea. Such alliances could consolidate military technologies and strategies, possibly paving the way for prolonged territorial disputes and territorial belligerence.

Local Ukrainian leaders have emphasized the need for global support to counter the Russian advances, stressing the humanitarian assistance needed for displaced populations impacted by the violent engagements. A spokesperson from the Ukrainian government stated, "We require more than arms; we need solidarity and support from our allies to stand firm against this invasion." This reflects the urgent need for international backing as the conflict enters its latest phase.

The conflict's evolution continues to draw attention from global powers, each analyzing their stance and reaction based on the shifting dynamics of alliances and military capabilities witnessed over the past months. With territory changing hands and foreign military commitments increasing, the situation remains precarious.

Russia's strategies appear focused on solidifying its hold on Eastern Ukraine, and as 2024 approaches, the attention will be on what steps Ukraine and its allies will take to respond to these aggressive maneuvers. Developing military tactics and international relations may play pivotal roles moving forward as this conflict undoubtedly shapes geopolitical landscapes for years to come.

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