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13 March 2025

Retaliatory Tariffs Raise Alarms For Central Pa. Farmers

Local dairy farmers face uncertain futures as China imposes new tariffs impacting trade.

Central Pennsylvania farmers are raising alarm over the series of retaliatory tariffs imposed by China, which they fear could have devastating effects on local agriculture, particularly dairy farming. With China implementing 10% and 15% tariffs on U.S. agricultural exports, the challenges facing farmers are intensifying.

These tariffs primarily target key agricultural products, including corn, beef, and dairy products. This move has caused considerable concern among local farmers who depend heavily on exports to sustain their businesses. "During a week, every farm in the United States is exporting one day's worth of dairy production," said Matt Espenshade, president of the Pennsylvania State Grange and owner of Evergreen-Valley Farm, located in Elizabethtown, Lancaster County. For Espenshade’s 140-acre dairy farm, this translates to around one thousand gallons of milk needing to find markets outside the United States every week.

Pennsylvania, known for its agricultural output, exported approximately $3.5 billion worth of goods to China last year. Notably, dairy plays a substantial role, with the state shipping around $2.6 billion worth of agriculture products, including dairy, to international markets. The local dairy sector alone generates over $400 million annually, making it imperative for farmers to secure their exports.

Espenshade expressed concrete worries about the consequences of the tariffs. He stated, "We're all taking a wait-and-see attitude as far as how this all turns out. We would love to see more of our dairy products behind foreign markets, especially China with its growing population." His sentiments reflect the hesitancy among farmers as they grapple with the uncertainty brought by the tariffs. With China focusing on bolstering its self-sufficiency, the potential market for Pennsylvania’s dairy products seems precarious.

Fears of overproduction loom large, as reduced purchases from China could lead to product surplus, drastically affecting pricing. "Any disruption in the process would have a negative impact," Espenshade lamented, highlighting the ripple effects these tariffs could create on local economies. The cooperative farming model he is part of sends raw milk to various production facilities, but if the foreign market contracts, dairy farmers could be left to absorb the impacts with fewer sales and reduced income.

How these trade tensions evolve could very well determine the fate of Pennsylvania’s agricultural exports. Despite the challenges currently faced, local farmers are adopting strategies to cope with the situation. Espenshade suggests consumers contribute positively by supporting local agricultural businesses. "The next time you go to the grocery store, think about buying an extra tub of locally produced ice cream," he advised, putting forth practical measures for supporting local farmers during this tumultuous period.

Looking forward, there is hope among farmers like Espenshade for the resolution of the tariffs and the restoration of China as a valuable trading partner. With the country’s growing demand for dairy products amid its population increase, he believes there is still significant potential for Pennsylvania’s dairy exports. For now, the agricultural community must navigate the turbulence together, keeping fingers crossed for favorable trade winds.