Today : Feb 25, 2025
Science
25 February 2025

Research Develops Tool For Predicting 7-Day Mortality In Palliative Patients

The RAMA-EOL score aids emergency staff in timely patient care decisions at end-of-life stages.

A recent study from Mahidol University has identified key prognostic factors related to short-term mortality among palliative care patients visiting emergency departments, culminating in the development of the RAMA-EOL score. This prediction tool is poised to aid emergency medical professionals by facilitating more informed decisions about end-of-life care.

Palliative care is intended to improve the quality of life for patients facing life-limiting illnesses, addressing not only their physical discomfort but also their psychosocial and emotional needs. Unfortunately, many of these patients find themselves seeking care in emergency departments (EDs) during their final days, where the unique pressures and challenges of acute medical care can complicate effective treatment decisions.

The study spans over nearly a year, from June 2022 to May 2023, within the busy setting of the Ramathibodi Hospital's emergency department, which annually receives around 42,000 patient visits. During this time, researchers conducted careful analyses of 574 adult patients who had expressed their decisions to decline life-sustaining measures. The findings revealed tragically familiar statistics: 152 patients, approximately 30.46%, died within just seven days following their ED visit.

The research team, led by key contributors TC and WT, utilized logistic regression analysis to parse through clinical data to determine significant predictors of short-term mortality. At the conclusion of their work, they highlighted six primary markers: the presence of solid malignancy, respiratory abnormalities such as mandibular movement, low systolic blood pressure, lymphopenia, thrombocytopenia, and elevated blood urea nitrogen to creatinine (BUN/Cr) ratio. By integrating these predictors, the research culminated in the RAMA-EOL score, which demonstrated impressive predictive accuracy, confirmed by its area under the ROC curve (AuROC) of 80.46.

The RAMA-EOL score can facilitate emergency physicians' decisions by categorizing patients based on their predicted risk for 7-day mortality. Specifically, patients scoring three or higher had nearly three times the likelihood of passing away within the week following their assessment. This kind of scoring system is invaluable, providing concrete, data-backed guidance to clinicians operating within fast-paced ED environments.

“The RAMA-EOL score reliably predicts 7-day mortality in palliative ED patients, facilitating timely palliative care interventions for high-risk individuals,” stated the authors of the study. Indeed, their findings support the need for integrating proactive palliative consultations for those identified at risk. The shift to more anticipatory care could significantly alleviate patient suffering during the latter stages of their illness.

Emergency physicians are often at the frontlines of patient care, yet they regularly report feeling unequipped to address the complex decisions needed for patients nearing the end of life, especially within the chaos of the ED setting. This research emphasizes the necessity of streamlined protocols, advanced planning conversations, and interventions to promote patient quality of life.

Beyond enhancing current emergency practices, the study aims to push for systematic shifts within healthcare, advocating for earlier palliative interventions and more substantial collaboration between emergency physicians and palliative care teams.

The researchers are clear about the broader impacts of their work: “Emergency physicians should discuss the goal of care and the location of death with patients and their families.” Such conversations not only affirm the dignity of patients but also increase the potential for fulfilling personal wishes related to end-of-life care.

This study provides compelling evidence to improve the handling of palliative care cases within emergency settings, and the implementation of the RAMA-EOL score may serve as the impetus for needed change. With more research and validation, it holds the promise of reshaping interactions between emergency care providers and patients with palliative needs.

While there is no single solution to the challenges at the intersection of emergency medicine and palliative care, the RAMA-EOL score stands as a potential turning point, bringing hope for more compassionate care during one of life’s most difficult transitions.