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19 June 2025

Raytheon Secures $300 Million Missile Contract Expansion

Raytheon Technologies wins major defense contract modification for missile program amid strong sales growth and tariff challenges

Raytheon Technologies (RTX) has secured a substantial contract modification worth $299.7 million from the U.S. Department of Defense, aimed at advancing the Evolved SeaSparrow Missile Block 2 program. Announced on June 17, 2025, this firm-fixed-price modification will fund the procurement of test equipment, spares, and options for Guided Missile Assemblies, marking a significant milestone for the defense contractor.

The contract work will be distributed across a wide network of facilities, reflecting the global footprint of Raytheon's operations. Key locations include Tucson, Arizona, which accounts for 12% of the work, Edinburgh in Australia at 11%, and Mississauga, Canada contributing 10%. Additional important sites include San Jose, California (9%) and Raufoss, Norway (8%). Beyond these, the project spans 23 named locations plus various smaller sites that collectively represent 8% of the contract work. The Department of Defense expects the contract to be completed by September 2030, underscoring the long-term nature of this strategic program.

Funding for this contract modification predominantly comes from fiscal year 2025 Navy weapons procurement funds, which supply $283.7 million or 95% of the total amount. Other contributions include $7 million from 2025 other customer funds, $5.4 million from 2024 Navy weapons procurement funds, and $3.5 million from 2024 other customer funds. The Naval Sea Systems Command, based in Washington, D.C., is managing the contract under the identifier N00024-24-C-5408.

This contract modification aligns with Raytheon Technologies’ broader business performance, which has shown robust growth and operational improvements in recent quarters. On April 22, 2025, RTX reported an 8% increase in organic sales growth and a 120 basis points expansion in segment margins, highlighting the company’s strengthening financial health. Commercial aftermarket sales surged by 21%, while defense sales grew by 4%, reflecting the company’s balanced exposure to both commercial and defense sectors.

Overall adjusted sales for the reported period reached $20.3 billion, up 5% year-over-year and 8% on an organic basis. Segment operating profit stood at $2.5 billion, marking an 18% increase. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rose to $1.47, a 10% improvement from the prior year, while GAAP EPS from continuing operations was $1.14. The company also generated strong free cash flow of $792 million during the quarter, representing a $900 million improvement compared to the previous year. Shareholders benefited from capital returns totaling $890 million, primarily through dividends.

RTX’s backlog—a key indicator of future revenue—stood at $217 billion, up 8% year-over-year, showcasing the company's solid order pipeline. Within RTX’s business units, Collins sales reached $7.2 billion (an 8% adjusted and 9% organic increase), Pratt & Whitney sales climbed to $7.4 billion (14% adjusted and organic growth), and Raytheon sales were $6.3 billion, down 5% adjusted but up 2% organically. The Raytheon segment’s book-to-bill ratio was 0.70 for the quarter and 1.35 on a rolling 12-month basis, suggesting a mixed but generally healthy demand environment.

However, RTX is not without challenges. The company faces potential cost impacts of approximately $850 million due to tariffs, which could affect profitability if these trade measures remain in place. Notably, these tariff-related costs were not incorporated into the company’s current financial outlook, signaling uncertainty ahead. Supply chain disruptions linked to these tariffs also pose risks to operational efficiency and timely delivery.

Despite these headwinds, Wall Street analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic view of RTX’s stock. Based on the consensus from 21 analysts, the average one-year price target is $139.83, with estimates ranging from $99.00 to $160.00. This average target price implies a downside of about 5.83% from the current trading price of $148.48. Furthermore, 25 brokerage firms have assigned RTX an average recommendation rating of 2.2, which falls into the "Outperform" category on a scale where 1 is a strong buy and 5 is a sell. GuruFocus’ estimated fair value (GF Value) for RTX stands at $134.75, suggesting a potential downside of 9.25% from the current price.

The Evolved SeaSparrow Missile Block 2 program itself is a critical component of the U.S. Navy’s missile defense capabilities, designed to provide enhanced protection for naval vessels against a variety of threats. The missile system’s upgrades aim to improve guidance, targeting, and overall effectiveness in complex maritime environments. By investing nearly $300 million in test equipment and spares, Raytheon is positioning itself to support the Navy’s evolving defense needs well into the next decade.

Geographically, the contract’s distribution highlights Raytheon’s extensive international footprint and collaborative approach. The involvement of locations such as Edinburgh, Australia, and Raufoss, Norway, underscores the global nature of modern defense manufacturing and the importance of allied partnerships in technology development and production.

As the contract progresses toward its anticipated completion in 2030, Raytheon will likely continue to leverage its technological expertise and operational scale to meet the Navy’s requirements. The company’s recent financial results and analyst outlook suggest it is well-positioned to navigate both opportunities and challenges in the defense sector.

In summary, the $299.7 million contract modification awarded to Raytheon Technologies represents a significant investment in the Evolved SeaSparrow Missile Block 2 program, reinforcing the company’s role as a key defense contractor. While RTX faces some risks from tariffs and a complex global trade environment, its strong sales growth, expanding margins, and substantial backlog provide a solid foundation for future success. The coming years will be critical as the company balances innovation, operational execution, and market uncertainties in a rapidly evolving defense landscape.