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Science
15 August 2024

Puente Hills Fault Emerges As Greater Threat Than San Andreas

Recent seismic activity raises alarms over the hidden dangers of the Puente Hills fault line beneath Los Angeles

While California's San Andreas Fault often gets all the media attention, experts now warn about another, less-known fault line posing even graver risks to the population. The Puente Hills Fault, which runs directly beneath urban areas of Los Angeles, might be capable of causing significant destruction.

On August 12, 2024, Southern California felt the tremors of a 4.4 magnitude earthquake, serving as a stark reminder of the region's seismic volatility. This quake was linked to the active Puente Hills Fault, underscoring its potential to create even larger and more destructive events.

Dr. Lucy Jones, a prominent seismologist and researcher from Caltech, has pointed out the alarming proximity of this fault to densely populated areas. “That fault runs right through Los Angeles,” Dr. Jones stated, emphasizing its capacity for extremely powerful earthquakes.

Unique to the Puente Hills Fault is its structure; it is classified as a "blind thrust fault," meaning it doesn’t reach the earth's surface. This combination of being both hidden and located beneath busy urban centers complicates the risk assessment, as such faults can rapidly produce severe earthquakes.

Historically, the Puente Hills Fault has shown signs of activity, evidenced by the 1987 Whittier Narrows earthquake, which measured 5.9 and resulted in eight deaths. Dr. Jones noted, “When we’ve modeled what would it be to have a 7.5 on the Puente Hills Thrust, we get 10 times as much damage than we see for a 7.9 on the San Andreas.”

By comparison, the San Andreas Fault is over 750 miles long and has produced significant earthquakes, like the Loma Prieta quake and the infamous 1906 San Francisco earthquake. Yet, it largely runs through remote areas, meaning when it does rupture, it's often less destructive to urban life compared to the Puente Hills Fault.

The U.S. Geological Survey highlights the risk posed by the Puente Hills Fault, estimating potential damages could reach up to $252 billion if it experiences a full rupture. These projections also alarmingly suggest fatalities could range from 3,000 to as high as 18,000.

If the Puente Hills Fault were to generate an earthquake of 7.5 magnitude, as predicted, the outcome would be catastrophic, especially considering Los Angeles is filled with older buildings not up to date with seismic retrofitting. “We have an incredibly dense concentration of vulnerable buildings right on top of the Puente Hills fault,” Dr. Jones cautioned.

Unlike the more notorious San Andreas, which usually experiences major earthquakes every 180 years, the Puente Hills Fault operates on different timelines. It is believed to produce significant quakes much less frequently, perhaps once every few thousand years, making its unpredictability particularly concerning.

The 1994 Northridge earthquake, which was also caused by a blind thrust fault, killed 57 people and caused approximately $44 billion worth of damage. Experts caution these statistics could be dwarfed by future events along the Puente Hills Fault due to the concentration of human infrastructure atop it.

Recent seismic activity has spurred renewed discussion about earthquake preparedness across Southern California. Dr. Jones noted, “This year alone, we’ve seen more seismic activity than we have over the past two decades combined,” highlighting the trend toward increased earthquake frequency.

Some streets and neighborhoods are just within five miles of this potential disaster zone, making it clear: residents are at risk. “Being prepared doesn’t just mean having supplies; having water is important, but having conversations with your friends and family about it and making plans together is probably more important than anything else,” Dr. Jones advised.

Seismologists recommend routine safety measures, such as securing large furniture and having emergency kits. These steps could drastically mitigate risks to life and property should the Puente Hills Fault ever rupture with catastrophic force.

Erin Moller, another seismologist, echoed the importance of preparation, saying everyone should draw up family plans for earthquake scenarios. “If you know what to do during and after the quake, it might save your life and those of your loved ones,” said Moller.

With the likelihood of significant earthquakes looming, residents are urged to remain vigilant and informed about the Puente Hills Fault. The recent quake is just one of many indicators of California's precarious geological position.

Despite scientists' best efforts to monitor these faults, predicting exactly when and where the next quake might occur remains impossible. “We know it’s coming, and we aren’t sure from which fault, but the likelihood of significant seismic activity is high,” Dr. Jones concluded.

California has long prided itself on innovation and resiliency, and these qualities can extend to disaster preparedness. Being proactive now could save countless lives and resources when the ‘big one’ finally hits.

Overall, as experts continue researching the unknowns of the Puente Hills Fault, the message remains: preparation is key.

California's earthquake readiness often mirrors the state of its buildings and infrastructure, many of which are aging and need significant retrofitting. The Puente Hills Fault is both a reminder and a call to action for all Southern Californians to think critically about earthquake preparedness.

With the increasing activity along this less publicized fault line, it’s clear the Puente Hills Fault deserves attention from both scientists and the public alike. If left unchecked, even smaller quakes could lead to dire consequences when the big one does finally make its appearance.

Experts suggest continuing to educate the public about the risks associated with the Puente Hills Fault, as fear and misinformation are not solutions. It is through knowledge and action we can better prepare ourselves for whatever geology has to throw at us.

Education around earthquake safety and awareness will be critical moving forward, especially as experts predict more earthquake activity. Residents are encouraged to attend local preparedness workshops, ensuring everyone knows what steps to take during seismic events.

The Puente Hills Fault stands as both a threat and reminder of Los Angeles' relationship with the earth beneath their feet—an unpredictable relationship fraught with potential devastation. The time to act is now, as California inches closer to the reality of living with earthquake risks daily.

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