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12 December 2024

Progress Is Being Made Toward Peace Talks For Ukraine

European leaders engage with Putin to explore potential peace resolutions amid continued conflict

Efforts to negotiate peace amid the continuing conflict between Ukraine and Russia are seeing new developments as various European leaders have engaged with Russian President Vladimir Putin, pushing for dialogue and potential resolutions.

Recently, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán had significant discussions with Putin. Their talks focused on several pressing issues, including energy security, the war situation in Ukraine, and the stability of Syria. Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Péter Szijjártó, characterized the call as emphasizing their commitment to maintaining energy cooperation notwithstanding the challenges posed by international sanctions. Szijjártó asserted, "We are committed, and we have a shared will to continue energy cooperation. There is no factor on either side—that would prevent us from finding a solution to this situation."

Hungary has positioned itself as a pro-peace advocate, continuously espousing the importance of diplomatic channels and open communication as facilitated by dialogue with Russia. Szijjártó stressed, "Hungary has been taking the same committed pro-peace stance for over one thousand days." During the conversation, Orbán brought up the prospects for peace-building initiatives, to which Putin indicated existing Ukrainian laws are currently obstacles to negotiations.

The economic impact of U.S. sanctions on Gazprombank was also acknowledged during their dialogue, with Szijjártó noting the difficulties these measures have created for his nation and its neighbors. "By placing Russia’s Gazprombank on the sanctions list, the current U.S. administration has created serious difficulties for some Central and southeastern European countries," he commented. Amid these challenges, both leaders remain focused on resolving financial matters to assure Hungary's energy security, displaying strong diplomatic efforts to maintain regional peace and stability.

On the larger European front, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has expressed readiness to engage with Putin again. This willingness to revisit discussions came after a previous phone call on November 15—a call Scholz found frustrating due to what he described as Putin merely repeating his standard positions. Nevertheless, Scholz maintained the necessity of dialogue, emphasizing Germany's unwavering support for Ukraine. He declared, "It was frustrating... because he just repeated all his formulas again. But we must not have any illusions about it." Scholz’s stance remains firm, stating conversations should occur until Russia takes tangible steps toward de-escalation.

The reaction from Ukraine has been piquant, with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy expressing strong disapproval of Scholz's attempts to renew communication with Putin. Zelenskyy described the engagement as akin to opening "Pandora's box," reinstigiting dialogue with Moscow, which had been marginalized since the early stages of the invasion.

Interestingly, EU leaders, including Tusk and Macron, have reached consensus on the necessity of Ukraine’s involvement in any peace talks directly. Tusk mentioned, "Ukraine must be present at any peace talks," highlighting upholding Ukraine’s sovereignty and its stake in negotiating any potential peace agreements. This stems from the broader objective of ensuring Ukraine is integrated as both participant and defender of its rights during any discussions moving forward.

On the international stage, Modi’s administration is also playing its cards cautiously. Prime Minister Narendra Modi has previously avoided direct engagements with leaders like Putin, alleviating tensions and keeping neutrality at the forefront of India’s stance.

While the situation remains complex with multinational interests intertwined, all diplomatic avenues are being explored actively to facilitate peace talks. It seems imperative for the involved nations—especially European ones—to maintain open lines of communication, but the intensive political landscapes make these conversations inherently delicate. Scholars and policymakers are closely monitoring these diplomatic maneuvers, hoping they may herald the beginnings of something constructive.

While some have pointed out potential avenues for conversation, past peace efforts have yet to produce sustainable outcomes. Scholz's determination, Orbán's sustained dialogue, and Tusk's insistence on Ukraine's presence may lay the groundwork for future negotiations. But with entrenched positions on all sides, any steps forward will require substantive commitment and trust-building measures.

We can only await as these international actors decipher their next moves, and whether these discussions can ignite change within the current hostile climate enveloping Ukraine.

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