The anticipation surrounding the Prix de Montauban, set for December 27, 2024, at the Paris-Vincennes racetrack, is palpable among horse racing enthusiasts. Scheduled to begin at 20:15 local time, this Quinté race features 15 trotters competing over 2,100 meters on the renowned sand track, aiming for glory and significant prizes.
This year, the competition is fierce, especially among the 7-year-old trotters who have not won more than 160,000 euros. Among the frontrunners, the Swedish trotter Chestnut emerges as the clear favorite, boasting impressive recent performances. According to racing analyst Hart L. Cordier, “[Chestnut] seems to be searching for his race.” With his excellent form and strategic advantages, many expect him to clinch victory.
Another horse to keep an eye on is Harena de Marzy, who, according to trainer Eric Raffin, “is not here to be just part of the scenery.” Despite facing disqualifications previously, Harena's recent competitive streak shows promise, especially with Raffin at the reins, enhancing her chances to perform well on the big stage.
Competing closely with these two is G.K. Justus, whose potential is echoed by various analysts. One noted, “G.K. Justus should run well if his driver does not make mistakes.” Starting from a favorable position, this horse looks ready to capitalize on the race's dynamics.
While these major contenders draw the spotlight, other horses such as Hacienda Desbois and Maggiore deserve mention. Hacienda Desbois, being among the richest with earnings of approximately 158,455 euros, is expected to challenge the favorites, particularly if her stable can capitalize on the top form she reportedly enjoys. The combination of driver Gaël Demoulin’s skills and her swift capabilities makes her one to watch closely.
Conversely, Maggiore, who has recently looked less formidable, may surprise fans if he regains his footing following previous good performances. “The best chrono on this course is with Maggiore, even if he recently disappointed. We’re awaiting his redemption,” was the prevailing sentiment among analysts.
The weather conditions at Vincennes on race day are expected to be manageable, promoting good traction on the sand surface. This factor will likely benefit speedily positioned horses as they will have the advantage to maintain pace, particularly those capable of strong finishes.
The configuration of the race implies some horses might need to navigate tactical challenges. “All eyes will be on the leaders, but do not underestimate the finishers who can surprise us,” commented another racing pundit, reminding fans to remain alert to potential surprises toward the final stretch.
For bettors, the best chance of securing victories may revolve around headlining horses. Cordier emphasizes making Chestnut the core of betting strategies: “If I only had to bet on one horse, it would undoubtedly be Chestnut. He’s got everything: current form, class, speed, and advantageous starting position.” Many would suggest placing him as the anchor for various bet combinations, from tiercé and quarté to quinté and possibly even Pick5.
Those willing to explore riskier options might entertain some dark horses. For example, both MASK OFF and HENRY DE TROUVILLE present elements of surprise, particularly if favorable circumstances play out during the race. “[Mask Off] has the potential for surprise if he manages to avoid disqualification, and Henry de Trouville seems primed to challenge the front-runners,” added one analyst, making their inclusion worthy of consideration.
Overall, the Prix de Montauban promises to be stunning, combining talent, strategy, and the unpredictable nature of horse racing. With its mix of established champions and potential newcomers, spectators and bettors alike will find the event both thrilling and engaging.
