A recent CBOS poll indicates a significant shift in Polish political preferences as the country gears up for parliamentary elections. If the elections were held on Sunday, April 27, 2025, both the Koalicja Obywatelska (KO) and Prawo i Sprawiedliwość (PiS) would receive an equal share of 32 percent of the vote, marking a notable change in the political landscape.
The survey highlights that voter turnout is expected to be high, with 90 percent of respondents indicating they would participate in the elections, an increase of one percentage point compared to earlier this month. This surge in declared voter participation reflects growing engagement among the electorate as the election date approaches.
According to the poll results, the Koalicja Obywatelska, led by Donald Tusk, experienced a slight decline in support, dropping by one percentage point from the beginning of April. Meanwhile, PiS, under the leadership of Jarosław Kaczyński, saw a substantial increase in backing, gaining six percentage points during the same period. "The end of the election campaign before the first round of presidential elections seems to be favorable for the current opposition, namely PiS," noted CBOS in their report.
In terms of other political parties, the Konfederacja secured the third position with 15 percent support, although this also represents a one-point decrease since the last survey. Following them, the Trzecia Droga coalition, which includes PSL and Polska 2050, garnered six percent, marking a one-point increase. The Lewica party, however, has seen a decline to five percent, down by one percentage point.
Interestingly, the Razem party remains below the election threshold, with only four percent of respondents expressing their intention to vote for them, unchanged from earlier in the month. The survey also revealed that zero percent of respondents were inclined to vote for any other political grouping, while seven percent of participants stated they found it difficult to determine their voting preferences, a decrease from nine percent at the beginning of April.
The CBOS poll was conducted through computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI) and internet interviews (CAWI) from April 22 to 24, 2025, involving a sample of 1,001 adult residents of Poland. Of these, 895 individuals responded to questions regarding their voting preferences.
This polling data paints a vivid picture of the current political climate in Poland, showcasing the competitive nature of the upcoming elections. With both KO and PiS neck and neck, the next few weeks will be critical as parties ramp up their campaigns to sway undecided voters.
As the elections draw closer, the dynamics among the various parties will surely evolve. The increase in voter engagement suggests that many Poles are eager to express their political opinions, which could lead to unexpected outcomes on election day.
Moreover, with the presidential elections also looming, the interplay between these parliamentary elections and the presidential race will be a focal point for many voters. The strategies employed by both KO and PiS will likely be scrutinized closely, as each party aims to solidify its base while attracting new supporters.
In summary, the latest CBOS poll underscores the competitive landscape of Polish politics as the country prepares for significant electoral events. With both major parties tied in support and a high voter turnout anticipated, the stakes have never been higher for Poland's political future.
