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14 November 2024

Philippines Tests Waters Amid China Tensions

New maritime laws spark protests and military exercises as regional powers flex their muscles

The South China Sea has always been a hotbed of disputes, with various nations laying claim to its abundant resources and strategic waters. Recently, tensions have escalated even more, particularly between the Philippines and China, overshadowing the region with increasing military exercises and bold legal maneuvers. Amid this backdrop, the Philippines has been pushing to assert its sovereignty, drawing the ire of its larger neighbor, China, which has issued threats and complaints of its own.

Two significant developments have added to the brewing storm: the Philippines has enacted new maritime laws intended to bolster its claims, and Malaysia has announced it will protest these laws, citing overlapping claims. This complex situation showcases how the interests of smaller states clash with those of larger powers, highlighting the sensitivity of territorial waters laden with resources.

On July 1, 2023, the Philippines enacted measures aimed at fortifying its territorial claims over areas within the South China Sea. These include the Maritime Zones Act and Archipelagic Sea Lanes Act. The Philippine government argues these laws are necessary to protect its sovereignty against potential encroachments by other nations. Foreign Secretary Enrique Manalo reaffirmed this stance, underscoring the country’s commitment to maintaining jurisdiction over its maritime areas.

These laws, which delineate the Philippines' rights to engage with within its exclusive economic zone, have been viewed unfavorably by China. Following the enactment, China expressed its dissatisfaction through formal channels, stating the laws violated its claims, particularly concerning areas it considers part of its territory under the infamous nine-dash line. This line—a vague demarcation used by Beijing—has been contested by several Southeast Asian nations, including Vietnam and Brunei, besides the Philippines.

The situation is compounded by Malaysia's planned protest against the Philippines over the new laws. Mohamad Alamin, Malaysia’s Deputy Foreign Minister, vowed to send this formal protest, arguing the laws not only impact the broader South China Sea dynamics but also implicate claims over Malaysian territory in Sabah, on the island of Borneo. The deputy minister asserted, "We will send a protest note today to demonstrate our commitment to defending Sabah's sovereign rights and the sovereignty of our country," emphasizing Malaysia's stand on its territorial integrity.

This feud over maritime laws is not just about territory; it’s also about oil, gas, and fishing rights. The South China Sea is believed to harbor vast reserves of hydrocarbons, alongside being one of the busiest maritime routes globally. Consequently, countries involved are not just defending borders; they are also safeguarding potential economic resources.

Recent military maneuvers have complicated the diplomatic atmosphere. China has conducted military drills near disputed islands, claiming these exercises are routine and defensive. The exercises, characterized by significant displays of naval power, have been perceived as intimidating by the Philippines and others. Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. has voiced his agreement with the United States' increased presence in the area as a counterbalance to China's assertiveness. Both nations have strengthened their military ties—adopting joint training exercises which aim to build cooperative action amid growing tensions.

Meanwhile, the United States has reaffirmed its commitment to defend the Philippines if there are any attacks on its military forces. This statement carries weight not only because of the US-Philippine alliance but also because it signifies Washington’s broader strategy against China's maritime dominance. The American military presence serves as both deterrent and reassurance, influencing the regional balance of power.

China's responses to the US-Philippine partnership have been swift, framing them as provocations. Through state-controlled media and spokespeople, Beijing warns against escalations, arguing this could destabilize the very region both nations aim to secure. For many observers, the prospect of military confrontations is real, especially as nationalist sentiments rise both from China and its neighbors.

The long-standing issue of the South China Sea remains deeply rooted in history, with colonial legacies and post-colonial claims swirling through every diplomatic discussion. The Philippines, historically, has claimed rights based on the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), which disallows arbitrary territorial claims like those positioned through the nine-dash line. This has aligned the nation’s strategies toward drawing international support to solidify its coastal rights.

Yet even as the Philippines navigates these complicated waters with legal frameworks and international alliances, it is confronted with domestic pressures as well. Filipino fishermen, often caught between the assertion of national law and the practicalities of fishing, continue to voice their challenges under Chinese patrols, where access to traditional fishing grounds is hindered. This hardship makes the political tension more than just a diplomatic dilemma; it is also about livelihoods.

While the Philippines seeks to bolster international support through agreements with the US and other allies, it faces the challenge of rallying ASEAN nations behind its cause. Each state has unique ties and equities at stake, complicative of any unified regional stance against China's assertiveness.

Looking forward, how will this rivalry evolve? With powerful military forces from both sides poised and relationships fluctuated by diplomatic engagements, the South China Sea dispute continues to be one of the most challenging scenarios for international relations, regional stability, and the rule of law over the coming years. Dramatic clashes are yet to emerge, but the potential remains high if discussions veer toward rigid stances.

For the Philippines, it’s not just about standing up to China; it’s also about ensuring its sovereignty and rights resonate internationally. Whether through legal avenues, military alliances, or regional positioning, the upcoming months and years will be pivotal for not just Manila, but for Southeast Asia as it grapples with collective security and withstanding external pressures.

Indeed, the notion of maritime territory is entangled with national identity and political narratives across the region. The Philippian government’s pursuit of legal avenues and strategic alliances indicates it won’t back down easily, signaling to Beijing and the world these contested waters have much at stake—for nationhood, richness of resources, and, fundamentally, survival as defined by sovereignty.

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