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28 February 2025

Palantir Stock Soars Over 1,000% Amid AI Revolution

The company's transformation has captured Wall Street's attention, but questions linger about potential stock splits and future challenges.

Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ: PLTR) has emerged as an astonishing success story on Wall Street, with its stock soaring more than 1,000% since its public debut at the end of 2020. The company, once regarded merely as a secretive government contractor, has built compelling partnerships with some of the biggest names in technology, including Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta Platforms. This radical transformation has not only propelled its stock to new heights but has also solidified Palantir’s reputation as one of the leading players in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector.

Since 2023, Palantir has witnessed unprecedented growth, gaining nearly 340% within the year to become the best-performing stock on the S&P 500. Now valued at approximately $209 billion, the surge has raised questions among investors about whether Palantir will opt for a stock split to make its shares more accessible to retail investors.

Over the past two years, Palantir has rapidly evolved beyond its roots, transitioning from government-focused contracts to capturing significant market share within the enterprise AI space. "Our AI-driven software solutions have expanded remarkably, allowing us to secure strategic partnerships with industry titans like Amazon and Microsoft," noted Palantir CEO Alex Karp during the latest earnings call. These collaborations have enabled Palantir to capitalize on diverse applications, including healthcare, finance, and defense.

According to Bloomberg, institutional investors now hold approximately 54% of Palantir's outstanding shares, with notable investment firms like Vanguard, BlackRock, and State Street backing the company. Such heavy investment intrigues many, as it indicates rising confidence among Wall Street elite. "The level of institutional interest we are seeing is unprecedented and speaks volumes about our credibility and growth potential," Karp said.

Despite the momentum and rising market influence, discussions of a potential stock split remain cautious. Two primary reasons suggest Palantir is unlikely to pursue this path in the near future. First, the company has finally earned respect on Wall Street after years of being viewed as merely a government contractor. A split could diminish this hard-won status and result in it being likened to “meme stocks,” which are often subject to speculative trading rather than sustained investment.

Palantir’s reputation is now built on profitability, strong revenue growth, and consistent free cash flow. "Our transition to GAAP profitability marks a significant milestone, making us more appealing to institutional investors," Karp added. The firm has nearly doubled its revenue growth rate over the past two years and reported strong margins, boasting gross margins of 80.25%.

The second reason against splitting the stock revolves around potential market volatility. Historical trends show stock splits often lead to significant price fluctuations. After the split, shares frequently being perceived as cheaper can lead to speculative buying, inflaming volatility and preemptively jeopardizing investor confidence. Karp has emphasized the importance of maintaining stability as Palantir continues to thrive within the high-paced AI market.

On the international front, the company faces considerable challenges. Despite its success domestically, Palantir's growth overseas remains bleak. For example, revenue from the European market grew by just 4% during the last quarter, mainly attributed to political tensions and risks associated with its historical ties to government contracts. "Growth rates reflect the challenges we face across Europe, including existing contractual hurdles and public perception issues," Karp lamented.

Palantir's performance highlights the changing dynamics of the tech market, demonstrating how underestimated companies can rise to significance amid leading giants like Nvidia and Microsoft. This underdog story mirrors the changing perception of AI solutions and their role across various industries. Investors are advised to monitor Palantir’s strategic partnerships and evaluate its financial performance cautiously moving forward.

Overall, as the AI market looks to expand significantly — projected to reach $267 billion by 2027 according to Statista — Palantir is well-positioned to capitalize on its growing customer base and innovative technology offering. The future remains bright for the company, but whether it will opt for drastic measures like stock splits depends heavily on upcoming strategies and market conditions.

Palantir Technologies has successfully navigated the turbulent waters of Wall Street, transforming from obscurity to prominence through innovative AI platforms and strategic partnerships. With increasing investor interest and strong financial performance, Palantir appears poised for continued growth. Yet, its commitment to maintaining its elite standing suggests caution around any decisions related to stock splits, which could inadvertently undermine its newfound status. For now, Palantir remains one of the key players to watch as the AI revolution continues to escalate.