BALTIMORE -- The Baltimore Orioles have made headlines with their latest signing, agreeing to terms with outfielder Dylan Carlson on a one-year deal worth $975,000. The contract, confirmed on Monday, includes an additional $25,000 bonus if Carlson reaches 200 plate appearances during the upcoming 2025 season. With pitchers and catchers set to report to Sarasota, Florida, on February 12, the signing of Carlson adds another layer of competition to the Orioles' outfield mix.
Carlson, 26, has experienced ups and downs throughout his career. A first-round draft pick by the St. Louis Cardinals, selected with the 33rd overall pick in 2016, Carlson initially burst onto the scene, finishing third in National League Rookie of the Year voting after his impressive 2021 season. During this breakout year, he boasted career-high numbers with a .266 batting average, 18 home runs, and 65 RBIs over 149 games, coupled with a .780 OPS.
Unfortunately, the last few seasons have seen Carlson's performance falter significantly. He struggled with injuries, including shoulder and ankle issues, which have impacted his production. Last year, Carlson hit .209 with three home runs and 25 RBIs across 96 games, split between the Cardinals and Tampa Bay Rays. His lackluster performance resulted in a -1.2 Wins Above Replacement (bWAR), marking the first time he posted negative value since entering the league.
What makes the Orioles even more curious about Carlson is his ability to play all three outfield positions, adding depth and versatility to their roster. After the departure of right fielder Anthony Santander to the Toronto Blue Jays, due to free agency, and the acquisition of Tyler O'Neill, the competition for the Orioles' outfield spots will intensify. Carlson will join Cedric Mullins, Colton Cowser, and others vying for playing time.
Part of Baltimore’s strategy seems to revolve around Carlson’s ability to hit left-handed pitchers effectively. Historically, he has boasted impressive numbers against lefties, with a .285 career batting average when facing southpaws. With the right adjustments and good health, Carlson could become the solid player the Orioles are hoping to see again.
To clear space on their 40-man roster for Carlson, the Orioles designated infielder Jacob Amaya for assignment. This move reflects both the team's intent to solidify the outfield and their willingness to explore all options available to them for the upcoming season.
Several factors will play pivotal roles as the 2025 season approaches. The Orioles currently have six outfielders on their roster, including Carlson, O'Neill, Mullins, and Cowser. Heston Kjerstad and Daz Cameron are also on the roster and considered candidates who could influence the final outfield lineup. Whether Carlson secures his spot will depend significantly on his performance during spring training and how the team decides to configure their roster all winter.
Carlson’s career has seen considerable peaks and valleys, and the Orioles aim to capitalize on the potential for resurgence. The switch-hitter's chase rate last season was respectable at 24.8%, indicating he has not become overly undisciplined at the plate, and his projected figures suggest he could produce more offensively if he can stay healthy and adjust to the pace of play.
Carlson's presence may not only bolster the lineup but also mold the young talent of the organization. While he tries to return to form, his experience could also provide guidance to the younger players, offering insight as they navigate the competitive atmosphere of major league baseball.
The contract with Carlson reflects the Orioles' low-risk strategy as they continue to build their roster for the 2025 season. They are investing $975,000, potentially incentivized by performance, to showcase their belief in Carlson's ability to bounce back. With ample options for repair on both offense and defense, he might just be the addition they need as they seek to improve from last season's performance.
Time will tell how Carlson fits within the fabric of the Orioles' lineup. One thing's for sure, his presence adds intrigue to the upcoming training camp, fueling speculation and excitement for the loyal fan base. If he can replicate the success shown during his earlier career, the Orioles could find themselves with yet another valuable player ready to contribute to their success when the regular season begins.