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27 November 2024

NVIDIA's Stock Surge Could Continue Amid Anticipated CES Keynote

Analysts predict significant gains for NVIDIA stock as CES 2025 approaches and new product launches beckon.

NVIDIA's recent stock performance has ignited significant interest among investors. With shares soaring over 176% this year, the company finds itself under the spotlight as it navigates the complex yet lucrative waters of artificial intelligence (AI) and graphic processing units (GPUs). Analysts are predicting even more growth on the horizon, especially as the company gears up for major product launches and key events.

According to analysts at Citi, NVIDIA has been placed on "positive catalyst watch" for the next three months, indicating trading momentum could push the stock as high as 27%. This excitement largely stems from the impending Consumer Electronics Show (CES) 2025, where CEO Jensen Huang is expected to deliver the opening keynote. Scheduled for January 6, 2025, Huang's address will mark the beginning of the event which lasts until January 10. Following the keynote, Huang is set to engage with financial analysts, providing insights and updates on the company's product roadmap.

Citi analyst Atif Malik mentioned, "We expect Blackwell sales expectations to move higher and management to talk about the inference-led enterprise and robotics industrial demand inflection." Indeed, NVIDIA's forthcoming Blackwell product line is poised to play a significant role, especially as companies increasingly invest in humanoid robotics and AI applications. This aligns with trends observed at NVIDIA's annual GTC conference, where numerous humanoid robots powered by NVIDIA chips were showcased.

What’s more, the company’s GPU chips are central to powering various AI workloads, solidifying NVIDIA's leadership position. With competitors like Tesla and Boston Dynamics racing to develop humanoid robots, NVIDIA's technology is at the forefront of this rapidly growing sector, making it invaluable to firms wanting to stay competitive.

Meanwhile, the company's third-quarter earnings report revealed staggering growth across various business segments. NVIDIA saw revenue jump by 94% year-over-year, hitting $35.1 billion, driven largely by its data center business which saw growth rates of 112%. NVIDIA's automotive segment also flourished with revenues surging 72% compared to the previous year, fueled by heightened demand for self-driving computing platforms.

The data center segment alone accounted for $30.8 billion during this reporting period, demonstrating the relentless upward momentum NVIDIA experiences as companies adopt more advanced technologies. Not too long ago, the gaming sector was NVIDIA's largest revenue stream; now, it’s gaining traction as well with 15% growth driven by back-to-school sales and preparations for the holiday season.

Despite the auspicious growth, NVIDIA's stock trades at relatively high price-to-earnings ratios, currently standing at around 55. This showcases the high expectations investors have about the company’s future performance. Analysts maintain optimism, projecting NVDA will exceed revenue projections, potentially nearing $39 billion to $40 billion next quarter, based on trends seen this year.

"Revenue has exceeded NVIDIA's guidance by several billion each quarter this year," noted the analysts who expect the company to report approximately $38 billion, highlighting its significant year-over-year growth rate of around 72%.

Looking forward, the anticipation builds as NVIDIA ramps up production for its Blackwell architecture. The new generative AI platform is expected to significantly drive demand for its GPU chips during the middle of next year and beyond. While the exact timeline for revenue realization from Blackwell remains ambiguous, it is expected to bolster NVIDIA’s already impressive fiscal standing.

NVIDIA’s current market situation demonstrates trends and investor confidence. The company's MO is clear; they’re laser-focused on continuing to lead the GPU market by meeting the demands of organizations striving to leverage AI technology as they transform their operations to remain competitive.

Whether or not investors wish to initiate or increase positions within NVIDIA stock ahead of the CES event is its own dilemma, but the general sentiment circles around NVIDIA maintaining its pivotal role not just within tech, but throughout numerous industries as digital transformation fuels the growing need for advanced computing power.

Investors weighing options will have to navigate the intricacies of NVIDIA's future product pathways against current financial performance metrics. All signs point toward growth; it's merely up to investors to assess how and when to jump on the NVIDIA bandwagon.

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