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27 November 2024

Nvidia Surges Ahead But Concerns Linger Over Future Growth

Nvidia's quarterly earnings beat estimates paving the way for AI-driven market optimism and caution

Tech giant Nvidia has once again captured the spotlight, delivering blockbuster earnings for its third quarter, sending waves of excitement and concern through the financial sector. CEO Jensen Huang announced during the results presentation, which aired last Wednesday, significant increases in sales driven primarily by booming demand for their AI chips. With sales hitting $35.1 billion, which outpaced analyst expectations of $33.2 billion, investors couldn't help but buzz with optimism about Nvidia's future prospects.

The reported figures underscored Nvidia's dominance as it continues to leverage its solid positioning within the booming artificial intelligence market, particularly through its advanced data center sales. Notably, Huang indicated plans for ramping up deliveries of their next-generation Blackwell chips, quenching the considerable demand from enterprises and governments alike. It's this very demand that's transformed Nvidia from just another tech company to the de facto leader of the AI industry.

Despite the upbeat earnings report, some analysts expressed caution. There’s chatter about potential slowdowns and concerns revolving around profit margins. Previous margins were riding high at around 75 percent of revenue, but expectations are set for this to dip as low as 73 percent in the coming months—a shift some investors have interpreted as ominous signs of vulnerability.

“What stuck in people's minds was the possibility of a slowdown in future growth,” remarked Konstantin Oldenburger from CMC Markets. He pointed out, “Even if the competition can only dream of such figures, investors, who have been accustomed to success, now fear the end of Nvidia's growth story.” Oldenburger speculated this uncertainty will become clearer once the Blackwell chips hit the production line and are delivered.

Market reactions were mixed following the report. While Wedbush analysts lauded the performance as “another earnings performance for the ages,” Deutsche Bank expressed disappointment, labeling the guidance as “tepid” for its failure to meet some of the loftiest expectations set by investors. Their projections indicated fourth-quarter sales guidance at $37.5 billion, barely topping the average analyst estimate of $37.1 billion.

Nevertheless, some funds are doubling down on their Nvidia investments. Stephen Yiu, who oversees the London-based Blue Whale growth fund and has invested 10 percent of his fund solely on Nvidia, emphasized his bullish outlook on the AI space. “Nvidia remains at the center of the AI transformation,” he noted, pointing to the expected growth for the 2026 financial year amid anticipated earnings upside.

Intel has maintained its own interesting narrative as Nvidia's competitor. Previously regarded as the frontrunner, Intel has been grappling with supply chain issues and stiff competition, leading to recent challenges. Nevertheless, it’s not backing down. Executives at Intel indicated intentions to ramp production of its own chips targeted at the booming AI sector—a segment of the tech world famous for its ever-changing demand and heightened competition.

On another front, Dell Technologies has also been riding the AI wave, reporting earnings results on the same day as Nvidia. Although the company's earnings per share exceeded expectations, its total revenue fell short, dragging down share prices by 10 percent post-announcement. Dell anticipated fourth-quarter revenue between $24 billion and $25 billion, which missed analysts' expectations of $25.57 billion. Despite these challenges, Dell executives voiced optimism about the growing demand for AI tools and servers. “We’re only in the very early innings of enterprises learning how to deploy AI,” said Dell COO Jeff Clark.

This shakeup is creating ripples across the tech market as companies adjust to increasing AI demands. Dell's revenue for AI systems alone rose sharply, with $11.4 billion recorded for the Infrastructure Solutions Group, largely bolstered by AI systems. Interestingly, their sales from traditional servers also saw a boost as clients prepare their systems for AI integration, indicating the level of interest among various sectors.

Clearly, AI is no longer the stuff of future speculation; it's already here and transforming how businesses operate. The momentum surrounding GPUs (graphics processing units) and AI accelerators indicates Nvidia’s continued importance and resilience. It's this powerhouse position, along with Dell’s involvement as one of the principal vendors for tools and systems aimed at AI developers, which may help both companies navigate future uncertainties posed by market shifts or competition.

Despite the apparent downturns and concerns, resilience remains the order of the day. Investors seem to appreciate the level of innovation spurred by AI technologies, often choosing to look past short-term dips for the promise of long-term gains. There’s little doubt; as Titan-like figures like Nvidia and Dell continue to evolve, they’ll chart the course for smaller players and competitors alike within the AI market.

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