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Technology
16 April 2025

Nvidia Faces $5.5 Billion Hit From US Chip Restrictions

New export rules escalate tensions between the US and China, impacting major tech stocks.

In a significant blow to the technology sector, major tech stocks and chipmakers experienced a sharp decline following new U.S. export restrictions on Nvidia Corporation's H20 artificial intelligence chips destined for China. On April 15, 2025, Nvidia announced that it would incur a staggering $5.5 billion charge related to these restrictions, leading to a 6.5% plunge in its shares during after-hours trading.

The U.S. government, under the Trump administration, has barred Nvidia from selling its H20 chip in China, escalating the ongoing tech battle between Washington and Beijing. This chip, specifically designed for the Chinese market, now requires an export license under U.S. regulations—a requirement that federal officials have indicated will remain indefinitely. This sudden shift has left Nvidia and its investors grappling with the implications of a geopolitical landscape that increasingly prioritizes national security over trade.

In a filing made late on April 15, Nvidia detailed the financial repercussions of the new rules, stating that the $5.5 billion charge is linked to inventory, purchase commitments, and associated reserves for its H20 microchip products. The company had previously engineered the H20 chip to comply with earlier U.S. export controls, making this latest restriction particularly disheartening.

As a result of Nvidia's announcement, shares of other major chipmakers also took a hit. Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) fell over 7%, while Intel Corporation (INTC) and Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) saw declines of 2% and 3.5%, respectively. U.S.-listed shares of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) dropped 2%. The ripple effect was evident across the tech sector, leading to a 1.5% decline in tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Futures.

Investors are understandably anxious about the broader implications of these restrictions. The H20 chip was expected to be a significant revenue driver for Nvidia, with projections suggesting it could generate between $12 billion and $15 billion in revenue in 2024. The abrupt halt in sales to China threatens not only Nvidia's financial outlook but also raises questions about the future of U.S.-China relations in the tech industry.

In light of this turmoil, ASML Holding NV, a Dutch chip-equipment maker, added to investor anxiety by posting orders that missed expectations. On the same day, ASML's shares fell by as much as 7.6% in Amsterdam after the company expressed uncertainty about the impact of recent tariff announcements on its business. This combination of factors has sent shockwaves through the tech industry, prompting fears of an escalating trade war that could stifle innovation and growth.

The U.S. government has been tightening its grip on semiconductor exports to China for some time, citing national security concerns. The latest restrictions are part of ongoing efforts to limit China's access to advanced technology that could be utilized in military applications or supercomputers. This strategic pivot reflects a growing recognition of the intertwined nature of technology and global security.

Nvidia's H20 chip, while a less powerful variant of its top AI chips, was originally designed to comply with previous U.S. export controls. However, the new regulations render existing inventory unsellable, prompting the significant writedown. The company's leadership, including CEO Jensen Huang, is now faced with navigating a complex geopolitical landscape that could have lasting effects on its business model and revenue streams.

The news comes at a time when the technology sector is already grappling with various challenges, including supply chain disruptions and rising inflation. The combined pressures of these export restrictions and broader economic uncertainties may lead to a reevaluation of investment strategies within the tech industry.

As Nvidia prepares to report its fiscal first-quarter earnings results on May 28, 2025, investors will be closely watching for further insights into how the company plans to adapt to this rapidly changing environment. The stakes are high, and the outcome could set the tone for the tech sector's performance in the months to come.

In conclusion, the recent U.S. export restrictions on Nvidia's H20 chip have sent ripples through the technology sector, highlighting the fragility of global trade in an increasingly polarized geopolitical climate. As major tech stocks continue to react to these developments, the industry faces a challenging road ahead, with the potential for further regulatory changes looming on the horizon.